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Originally Posted by sheeprustler
Im about halfway through Colin Moshman's sng book and am stuck on one equation. I understand page 118-1120 where he talks about how we calculate our equity in the late stages of a sng. I am lost as to how to put this calculation to work when talking about pots.
On page 120 he talks about the equity of calling.
He says.
Equity of calling= (pr(you win the hand))(Equity after you win)
+(Pr(you lose the hand)(Equity after you lose)
So let's imagine the blinds are 100/200. I am in the BB with 78 with 2000 chips after posting. The sb limps and has 400 behind. I think this is a snap push by me anyway but I'm using these figures to keep the maths as straight forward as possible. I decide to peel off a flop And the flop comes 56A offsuit. The sb pushes and I have open ender. Lets assume I know he has an ace so I am two to win if I make the call.
I am at a loss as to how to enter these figures into the equation.
Is the equity after I lose decided in this case by dividing my total tournamnet equity by five? It costs me 400 to call and this is one fifth of my stack. So that's the equity I lose?
Do I express the pot as a percentage of my stack to figure out the equity I gain?
I think if someone could fill in the equation with numbers I've given that would send me on a long way to understanding.
Thanks for your time.
I'll show you how to do this in chips but of course in an STT you must figure this with dollar equities.
The pot before he shoves is 400.
His remaining stack is 400.
You have 2K remaining.
Times you win you have 2800 chips (your stack + pot + his remaining chips).
Times you lose you have 1.6K chips (your stack - his remaining chips).
Let's say you are precisely 2/1 to win. So you have 33% equity in the hand (to figure this out, add one to your odds against and divide this into 100).
Your equity then is .33 x 2800 + .66 x 1600 = ~2000
which is (chance you win x outcome when you win) + (chance you lose x outcome when you lose).
So it's breakeven in chips, but will be -EV in dollars.
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Originally Posted by Gato_Vago
Hello.
I play the $1.20 STT at Stars, in sets of 5 stacked tables. I am sort of breaking even after a small sample, but I know I have the following leaks, at least I think these are the main flaws in my game:
No offence, but you probably have a lot bigger flaws than you think. That's one of the first lessons in poker: most of us are much worse than we think we are.
Begin by playing four tables tiled so you can watch the action. You'll improve more for it. There's no reason to stack five at all.
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1. I seldom play AK in early stages because when I used to play them with a normal 3x raise and I got two or three callers and the flop didn’t help then I was reluctant to make a continuation bet. I know this shows weakness, so I prefer folding than play the hand fishy –although folding might be fishy too- . If I am late and it comes folded to me I might raise the AK thu, but I kinda get lost postflop.
You must play AK preflop early. If you get two callers on a bad flop or three on just about any flop that you miss, just give up. No one is observing your play btw, so it doesn't matter how "fishy" you look.
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Also, I don’t feel comfortable just limping AK -in fact I don't limp too much, I am a 8.9/7.4/3.56 (nit??)- with such a powerful hand, so I normally fold it in early stages. Is this awfully wrong?
Don't limp AK.
Start raising AK again. Post examples of hands where you felt lost after the flop.
Your stats are appropriately nitty, but I'd expect to see something like 8/5. You are probably raising small pairs a bit too often.
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2. Whenever I play pairs like KK, QQ, JJ, TT, raising 3x from whatever position and get more than one caller and an ace flops, it’s very hard for me to make the c-bet.
On the whole this isn't unreasonable.
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So I tend to just check. I know this flaw is very exploitable
Dude, nothing is exploitable unless someone can exploit it.
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but the reason of my attitude is that I think that many players like to see the flop with any ace and I hate to see my Kings, Queens or Jacks losing against an A2. So, instead sometimes I tend to open over betting those pairs, mainly when I open from early to middle position, which might be not completely correct because an overbet might be a signal of a weak player and/or a not so strong hand.
You won't lose much if you checkfold underpairs to an ace on an A high board against three callers. When out of position, checking and seeing what happens is fine.
Make sure though that if you feel you get called a lot by Ax, you raise AK! Do you see? Those same guys will hand you their stacks on A high boards. But they can't do that if you've folded AK preflop
Again, post examples of hands where you had this happen.
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As you can see in these very common situations I have no confidence in my postflop game at the early stages of the tourneys, which I guess is very common in new players like me, is it?
There is a lot to learn!
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Originally Posted by JKpoker1
Hey all should I move up to $10+1's (full tilt) if I have grinded $200 up to around $500? I just started grinding some 10+1's and the play is real nitty and I'm wondering if i should just stick to $5.50's and play more tables (play 6 now at a time) bc I feel like they are much easier to beat and no worrys with my bankroll.
I'd get a bigger bankroll first. You can fairly easily have a 20BI downswing, especially if you're a bit marginal, and that's going to wipe out nearly all of your gains.
Don't add more tables either. Focus on getting better and look to increase tables once you can beat the 11s comfortably.