Quote:
Originally Posted by nath
I don't think this is necessarily true. SB has slightly more than pot on the turn; a size down could certainly be warranted with a monster to try to get the money in over three streets. If OP calls the turn, SB has less than 1/2 pot on the river to shove.
This imo. I don't mind calling down on ~most boards given the stakes and it being early in the tourney, assuming there are rebuys. Big stack early in a bounty tourney is also very nice.
Agree that the turn is usually not a fold if we're calling the flop. What turns are we folding here? 4, 5, 6, 7, and 8 seem like our worst turns.
4 means we now lose to 44, 34, 54, 77
5 means we now lose to 54 (blocks 1 of the 3 flopped sets)
6 means we now lose to 67 (blocks 1 of the 3 flopped sets)
7 means we now lose to 67, 54, 44, 77
8 means we now lose to 54, 88
Maybe fold on a turned 4 and 7 and call everything else? Also wondering if we should evaluate the likelihood of a strong hand checking down even on scary turns. For example plenty of sets will check at least 1 street on a turned 4.