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88 in BB v SB squeeze

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06-20-2022 , 05:53 AM

bribri94

enthusiast

Join Date: Jul 2017 Posts: 60

Late stages in the bigger 3.3$ on stars. I had almost no info on all three players as I got moved to this table only a few hands before.
I had no idea what to do in this hand. Looking back at it I feel like it's a shove but I'm not sure.
What to do here?

PokerStars - 1250/2500 Ante 200 NL (8 max) - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: 14.09 BB
Hero (BB): 27.32 BB
UTG: 37.85 BB
UTG+1: 25.95 BB
MP: 15.04 BB
MP+1: 26.23 BB
CO: 43.89 BB
BTN: 24.12 BB

8 players post ante of 0.08 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.14 BB) Hero has 8

fold, fold, fold, MP+1 raises to 2.2 BB, CO calls 2.2 BB, fold, SB raises to 14.01 BB and is all-in, fold, fold, fold

SB wins 8.24 BB

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06-20-2022 , 06:03 AM

fundiver199

centurion

Join Date: May 2022 Posts: 189

Its a close spot but I lean towards a fold. SB could be jamming some hands, you dominate, like smaller pairs or suited wheel aces. But he is also jamming a lot of hands, that have you crushed, or that have 45-50% equity with overcards. And some percentage of the time, one of the two other guys will also wake up with a hand, you dont want to get 88 all-in against. So with all this action ahead, I think, you can find a better spot to risk your entire stack. TT+ and AK seem like a reasonable range to overjam here.

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06-22-2022 , 11:16 AM

A.Munda14

stranger

Join Date: Jun 2022 Posts: 13

i think in this spot is fundamental to know at what stage of the tournament you are cause ICM could cover a big role here however in terms of equity we can say this:
In this case SB could jam any Ax suited KTs+ QTs+ JTs+ A9o+ KQo and 22+
If we consider also the open range of MP we will the scheme on the image. Our equity is somewhere around 36-37%

So... in this case... what would you do?

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06-27-2022 , 03:41 PM

bribri94

enthusiast

Join Date: Jul 2017 Posts: 60

First of all thank for the analysis!

Then I guess it's a clear fold as we need almost 40% based on pot odds which we don't have and that's not taking MP into account who can wake up with a hand as well?

It's was very late stages on the tournament, I think maybe 80 people or so left.

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