Setting aside the bet sizing since it's game-specific:
Quote:
Originally Posted by sixfour
I'm going the smallest I can where I can reasonably expect to steal the blinds
Problem is you're UTG/8 and with no cards that block a 3-bet shoving range. It's just a very unlikely scenario that you get this through and steal the blinds.
Quote:
Originally Posted by sixfour
and while I would ordinarily fold most of the time, I will open things like this occasionally for balance, if I don't do this now and again I wouldn't get anywhere near the sort of action I do when I do hit top pair or better
Balance, and board coverage, for hands like this is more important when you're deeper. 40BB+ I'll open 76s UTG sometimes. You're at 22.5BB, you don't need to worry about balance as much. Or, more accurately, you still want board coverage in that you want your range, in aggregate, to be capable of stacking off on any board, but this short you don't have to worry about those being the nuts or effective nuts-- you're still stacking off with overpairs on 854 or 762, for example.
Quote:
Originally Posted by sixfour
my main question is having made that call in the first place whether the risk/reward of calling off the jam is worth it
I doubt it very much. You have to thread a pretty thin needle for this to be +cEV, with neither of them having a pair, and the cost of dropping from 20BB to 12.5 or so is pretty significant.
But this is just a math and range question on that point. Is it worth it? Well, what do you think your opponents' ranges are here?