Quote:
Originally Posted by Into2ndWind
i'm shoving, you need to gamble here and try and get some chips. QTs is solid against a good part of their range(any pair), and if they fold you pick up the chips. This is a shove for me. Might run into a lot of 40/60s but i don't think you can afford to fold it here. this seems profitable to me although i havent run pokerstove and everything on it,.
You should take a look at SnGWiz and try that. Pokerstove simply cannot give you the correct answer here, you have to use ICM to calculate your $EV because cEV is just not that useful here.
I believe this marginal shove is too risky, and 60/40s are exactly what we are trying to avoid at this point. We do not want to "gamble it up", we want to use our non-desperate stack to its greatest effect and this is not a good spot to do it. We either want to shove and see everyone fold or muck, unless we have a monster hand when obv we want calls.
If we were big stack this is obv +$EV because we can tighten their ranges a lot more, but as it stand either can knock me out and I don't want a coinflip for that.