45s semi deep $22 on SB, big draw. ship it? - MTT Poker Strategy

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45s semi deep $22 on SB, big draw. ship it?

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03-15-2010 , 03:43 PM

LorenB

veteran

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 2,124

no reads, good river card to shovel? looks like a mid pocket pair, 6x, 78 or so...

Poker Stars $20+$2 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t250/t500 Blinds + t60 - 8 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

BTN: t15814 M = 12.86
Hero (SB): t19996 M = 16.26
BB: t18866 M = 15.34
UTG: t17234 M = 14.01
UTG+1: t12675 M = 10.30
MP1: t12010 M = 9.76
MP2: t28388 M = 23.08
CO: t19241 M = 15.64

Pre Flop: (t1230) Hero is SB with 5

6 folds, Hero raises to t1400, BB calls t900

Flop: (t3280) 3

(2 players)
Hero bets t1800, BB calls t1800

Turn: (t6880) K

(2 players)
Hero bets t3700, BB calls t3700

River: (t14280) A

(2 players)
Hero bets t13036 all in,

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03-15-2010 , 09:40 PM

LorenB

veteran

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 2,124

bump
himm.. this or bet flop more.. ship turn

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03-16-2010 , 06:08 AM

Quad_me's

veteran

Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 3,061

Thats a tough one, i may be tempted to bet harder on the flop in this case, once you whiff turn you can bet hard also, at this point you will have about 9-10k left to shove river or keep. As played not too bad but i dont see him folding that river ever unless he has a hand you actually beat eg 78 89dd etc

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03-16-2010 , 11:09 AM

Texas Chuck

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 6,237

I like it. Only hand that can call is A high flush draw or some monster hes been slowplaying which he should never be doing on that board.

Oh and I like all your sizing.

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03-16-2010 , 11:13 AM

pajo!

journeyman

Join Date: Aug 2008 Posts: 343

I'd say that this is a pretty sweet card to bluff at, and considering so much equity is already in that pot, I don't know how we couldn't make that stab on the river here.

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