only prev history is when he opened 100bb deep and i flatted IP, he c/f Kxx mono flop
no bvb history.
villain's a red pro who's pretty tight according to my hud stats.

chances he folds a Q to a shove?

Full Tilt Poker $150,000 Guarantee No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t25/t50 Blinds - 9 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter By DeucesCracked Poker Videos

Hero (BB): t2850 57 BBs
O Shark Eater O (UTG): t2860 57.20 BBs
snoringbeagl (UTG+1): t1817 36.34 BBs
baller11782 (UTG+2): t4703 94.06 BBs
agriffrod (MP1): t2750 55 BBs
I The King I (MP2): t2525 50.50 BBs
Miwa Iverson (CO): t3790 75.80 BBs
AggroUser (BTN): t3105 62.10 BBs
Mihai Manole (SB): t2600 52 BBs

Pre Flop: (t75) Hero is BB with T A
7 folds, Mihai Manole raises to t150, Hero calls t100

Flop: (t300) 9 J 7 (2 players)
Mihai Manole checks, Hero checks

Turn: (t300) 8 (2 players)
Mihai Manole checks, Hero bets t190, Mihai Manole calls t190

River: (t680) T (2 players)
Mihai Manole bets t575, Hero folds

I doubt he'll fold a Q, very few people would be nitty enough to try. I don't really see how your line represents KQ or a flush either, so I fold. Maybe you should just call and hope for a chop, but is it really worth committing a good portion of your stack hoping he has no queen or spades?

3bet/call pre is probably better vs a pro.

post is fine

that's a good point, though is shoving > 3b/c?

it might be, how wide can we shove on him?

Mutiny on the bounty.

good point. 3b/c is prob better than just shoving 60BBs deep.

Also, I think you should bet 270 or so on turn... There are just all of these hands he clicks call with and you can get a bunch more value by betting bigger.

This hand had me thinking. If villain opens 15% from sb and calls it off every time, can we jam 100% of hands then??

ProPokerTools Hold'em Simulation

406,929,045,600 trials (Exhaustive)

Hand	Pot equity	Wins	Ties
15%	65.84%	264,086,913,220	7,650,801,724
100%	34.16%	135,191,330,656	7,650,801,724