$130 multi-flight tourney at local FL casino. After a slow start, I noticed the table got tight and I attacked the blinds of very cautious players. Those who called saw barrels and two barrels before folding. Felt great. Stack rose from 50k (starting stack, which I was at for like 6 hours) to 190k.

I also caught Villain bluffing in hand just before the break when he barreled his AK into my 66 on a 9-hi board and called his flop and turn bets before we both checked the river. Before this point, Villain had been pretty ABC.

Blinds 2000/3000/3000 BB ante.

Hero (MP): Raise to 12k pre with AA. This had been my standard raise amount. Folds to Villain in BB, who calls. I have Villain covered.

Flop: 6K4r. Villain checks, Hero c-bets 20k, Villain calls.

Turn: 7. Villain checks. I think a little about checking back, but WTF I have AA and I want to charge Kx, so I bet 40k. Villain shoves for 66k more; if I call and lose I have 90k left. If I win it's like 300k and I can coast into Day 2.

My logic: Slow-playing a set of 4s or 6s? I suppose it's possible. Would he do this with AK (I have two As, so unlikely), KQ, KJ, KT, K9?! Again, possible. I can't say he's loose enough to call both of my first two bets with 47, 46, 67, 35 or 58. I'd be stunned if he played K4, K6, K7. So the only realistic holdings are 44, 66, 77, KQ, KJ, KT ... and 77 seems unlikely because he should have folded that on the flop.

I think I can beat most of his range, so I called. Did I win?

I don't know if you won this hand or not, your logic is sound, but your decision to bet turn without shoving makes me wanna ask, when you pick up the nuts, do you want the 50%?

ON the Flop set yourself for a shove OTT, bet more, he can have a lot of Kx in his hand, shoving lessens variance and if shove(bluff) turn you can get a lot of callers like Kx, and maybe get a smaller set to fold, cause after all we could have Kings

you called and lost to 53s right?

Easy call for me, if I am beat I am beat

the way the stacks are described is throwing me off

did the villain shove for 66k more over your 40k on the turn so he had 106k, or was it 66k total? cause if he had 106k on the turn you would only have like 50k left if you lost, so not sure there

the way you sized flop and turn, I don't think you can fold after the shove, you would have to be right wayy too often to be profitably folding I think, if you cbet like 33% flop and turn, then maybe you could hero-fold

also if he really did only have 66k total on the turn, so 26k over your 40k bet, all of this is mute point, you're never folding

is this 2003 or is my live tourney bet sizings knowledge not up to date?

sounds a bit sarcastic but im actually interested.



imo, i think you played it fine, and you are getting plenty of value here vs most K's.

part of the time hes got a set, 2 pair would be wonky imo from him, so in the case of a set, quite unlucky i think!

LOL, alright fine, I underbet the turn. Big deal.

Villain shoved for 66k more after my 40k turn bet.

I couldn't put him on any combo, he just wouldn't play 67, 53, 58 for a raise pre. So he either had a set or Kx.

Casino tournaments are like that especially the small buy in ones. You see many plays like that which scream huge leak. So I take note of each players who shows down a winner that got there with donkish leaky play.
With this info I have an overlay to the basic math that helps me to tip the scales toword a solid decision. So my question, had you seen this player make any donkish leaky plays?

Not really, no. He had been pretty decent, tight-is-right type.

Honestly I think he floated the flop because I had called him down on two streets in the hand I mentioned in my op. This time he got lucky.