[LOW] $11 MTT - Final table bubble hand - MTT Poker Strategy

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[LOW] $11 MTT - Final table bubble hand

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01-10-2022 , 10:02 AM

iamlagLOL

adept

Join Date: Jul 2013 Posts: 811

Sunday Starter Mini att PS, $11 buy in. 10 out of 1 800 left. Avg stack 1,8 M.

10th pays $105, 9th pays $133.

Hero (SB) is 9th of 10 w/ 675 K (13,5 BBs).
BTN has about 2,3 M, is running at 35/28/15ish after 100ish hands. He has been opening ALOT when folded to, so if anything I think he is shoving quite wide here.

BB is the short stack w/ 560 K and is like 15/10/6 after 50ish hands.

Hero is SB w/ 5d 5c

5-handed 25K/50K-5K

Pre-flop (100K T)

2 fold, BTN raises to 2,3 M and is all in, Hero......?

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01-10-2022 , 10:11 AM

bravepokerplayer

journeyman

Join Date: Nov 2021 Posts: 163

well its a flip.

id likely go for another orbit(s) with next hand OTB.

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01-10-2022 , 10:28 AM

IHaveThreePair

adept

Join Date: Jan 2017 Posts: 1,136

even if BTN is shoving wide you've got a little over 50% equity at best. Not sure we want to be flipping on FT bubble with 13bb when we are past the blinds for another orbit.

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01-10-2022 , 10:37 AM

iamlagLOL

adept

Join Date: Jul 2013 Posts: 811

Hmmm. Assuming he won't shove AA-JJ and AK/AQ, I think I have about 55% equity vs a reasonably wide range.

Not sure how to account for ICM though.

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01-10-2022 , 10:40 AM

bravepokerplayer

journeyman

Join Date: Nov 2021 Posts: 163

i think BTN shoves anything than TT-AA

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01-10-2022 , 10:41 AM

bravepokerplayer

journeyman

Join Date: Nov 2021 Posts: 163

i like above comment on that hero is past the blinds with 13bb
plenty of room to play poker rather than flip.

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01-10-2022 , 10:43 AM

bravepokerplayer

journeyman

Join Date: Nov 2021 Posts: 163

late stage short stack game was one of the main reasons i disliked MTTs before.

after playing 50k+ spins i feel much more comfy at lste stage short stacks.

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01-10-2022 , 10:45 AM

iamlagLOL

adept

Join Date: Jul 2013 Posts: 811

Quote:

Originally Posted by bravepokerplayer

i think BTN shoves anything than TT-AA

Like, his entire range except AA-TT?
Maybe. But in that case I have 61% equity and don't think I can fold.

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01-10-2022 , 10:47 AM

bravepokerplayer

journeyman

Join Date: Nov 2021 Posts: 163

perhaps. i no nottin about ICM and whatnot.

i just feel that there's better spots to GII

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01-10-2022 , 10:48 AM

#10

bravepokerplayer

journeyman

Join Date: Nov 2021 Posts: 163

better spots to GII before bubble that is.

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01-10-2022 , 11:56 AM

#11

Frogman3

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2008 Posts: 1,262

It's a fold, I 'd prob call 77

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01-10-2022 , 01:05 PM

#12

IHaveThreePair

adept

Join Date: Jan 2017 Posts: 1,136

should be a fairly simple spot to run in ICMizer if you haven't used your 1 free for the day

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01-10-2022 , 01:26 PM

#13

iamlagLOL

adept

Join Date: Jul 2013 Posts: 811

Quote:

Originally Posted by IHaveThreePair

should be a fairly simple spot to run in ICMizer if you haven't used your 1 free for the day

I haven't. TY

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