Stacks on the other table matter for this decision, but it might just be a fold pre. Obviously seeing results makes that easier to say, but it's also illustrative as to why-- you're just always facing this problem when you do flop an ace. I'd consider jamming as an option if he was opening particularly wide, but with a covering stack on the button I don't expect him to be.
River might be a fold too since I'm not sure what natural bluffs he has here-- not many Tx hands that don't now have showdown value or beat you, just KT. Heart draw would be plausible except he didn't bet the flop. Considering how good the flop is for an opening range even under these conditions, and how much ICM pressure he can put on you, he should be betting 1/4 pot or so basically all the time, so not doing so might raise some alarms.
Quote:
Originally Posted by tweedybirdd
Perhaps we can sigh fold the river a lot given that it’s basically the FT bubble of a 4.40 imo. A lot of his bluffs have showdown value here that I would expect a lot of ppl, especially near the FT, to check back on the river (e.g, T9s, Q9s, K9s). Can likely rule out any one pair hands with a jack. Does he take this line with pocket pairs that we beat (33-77)? Maybe, but he also checks the river a lot and even checks the turn a lot with those hands. It’s possible he has no air except KT and KQ, though that might be hasty. How many of K7-K2s does he have? Does he have Q7-Q5s?
We chop with the bottom of his value range (A3-A7) and lose to the rest. He has all of the sets and two pairs and QT. AK, AQ, and AT are possible but this feels like an uncommon line for those hands. I’m def sad for you though the whole way. It’s a gross spot, esp given the stack depth.
Oh my God, you're alive.