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Old 02-02-2018, 12:20 AM   #1026
TrustySam
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Re: Work Space for Learning How to Research Stocks

2017 Year End Wrap Up


What Poker Has Meant to Me


Have the fondest memories of growing up active with mathletics and chess in elementary school. After school, our teams would visit other schools in the district and have little tournaments - and then at the end of the year there'd always be ribbons and trophies. Was always ever the only girl for miles and miles in these things, but every one was always super welcoming, and we would all have the best time.

When those activities ended at the start of junior high, wound up a little lost without those hobbies had come to love as an outlet. Started collecting baseball statistics for a while of all things, until finally just settled in on becoming more of a typical girl. Was always kind of known as the sweet one, and many of my new activities did wind up following along those lines - was the neighborhood pet sitter for several years, then looked after children as a camp counsellor, and then wound up trying to help people find flattering jeans at the Gap on weekends. Wasn't exactly unhappy in my teen years, but there always seemed to be this nagging feeling that something was missing from my life?

And then online poker came along - and it felt like that love of puzzles and games had managed to find as a child, had been found once again. And funny thing, but it was like poker was filled with all the same people there were in math and chess club! Never managed to become very good at poker, and never made too much money. But the journey and all that's come with it has been a blast - having the chance to play a fun game with all sorts of people from all around the world, and learn new things. And then there's been fun stuff like railing live streams of tourneys with big payouts, with everything from Phil Hellmuth antics to Qui Nguyen wild racoon bluffs.

Really found myself again through poker, after feeling like had lost a part of myself for all those years - and for that, poker's been one of the great joys of my life. Do still play every once in a while, but not nearly as much as before now that it's gotten so hard.



Poker in the Decline, and Starting Investing


Change can be hard, because it requires us to leave our comfort zone of the familiar, and start anew. Even when things are no longer such a great fit, fear of the unknown can so often wind up leaving us frozen in place, unwilling to take those first steps. Wish it were possible for me to be able to say that trying out something new was an act of courage - but after tens of thousands of hands of breakeven poker over the course of several months, perhaps desperation and little else to lose besides my pride was all that was left standing in my way of trying something new.

My expectations were pretty low going into investing - after all, had little else but a couple of e-snippets from Warren Buffett to guide me on my new path. But that's how poker started for me as well. And just like with poker, my timing for getting started with investing appeared to be good, as the market was running super hot thanks to the campaign promise of fresh tax cuts.

Also tried keeping things simple while learning, although did go out on a bit of a limb by investing in individual stocks rather than an ETF. But studying all the different choices and putting together a personalized portfolio is the part of investing that reminded me so much of poker, and so this year's been as fun as poker used to be back when there was still money to be made even for a fish like me. Also wound up finishing the year off with over twice the return of the market - not sure if maybe investing may be a little bit softer the way poker used to be? In any case that was a pleasant surprise!



From Setbacks and Failures, to Learning Opportunities


With anything new though, perhaps it's natural to have a certain amount of ongoing self-doubt - oftentimes found myself wondering throughout the year if the gains had made were just variance at play, or if was actually making any progress?

My FANG stocks did wind up doing well last year, although there were also some stumbles. Bought gold while the price was running high, only to have it drop 10% the very next day. Also tried shorting SNAP and wound up selling it after the price started to rise. It's since dropped over something like 100%, so would have wound up making a huge profit if had just held on. Then wound up doing something similar with bitcoin, selling at $10k while the price wound up going all the way up to $17k in a matter of days. To make matters worse, there were haters in the bitcoin thread who were gloating over my opportunity cost - while at the very same time, my friends and family were treating me like a rock star for having bought bitcoin at $3k in the first place ("I feel like such a failure" ... "What? You did amaazing!" )

My loved ones meant well, but my bitcoin sale nevertheless wound up leaving me feeling quite depressed and alone in my disappointment. It's perhaps the possibility of setbacks that prevents so many of us from trying new things in the first place, so eager we are to avoid having our fears materialize? And here they were materialzing for me. It can sometimes seem like when the worst finally happens, things don't feel nearly as bad as it seemed like it might? But in this case, was feeling pretty bad lol.

In my time of despair, managed to find some resources that were quite helpful in helping me get back on my feet - one of the tips was able to find was that the mindset of feeling like we've failed is not the best way to approach setbacks, when trying out new things and making changes in our lives. Apparently the most constructive way to evaluate a situation like the timing of my bitcoin sale would have been to (1) ask if it was variance? (2) And if it wasn't, what can be learned from this experience?

That shift in mindset has been incredibly liberating and life-changing. After making that breakthough of insight, wound up finding it much easier to take risks in the face of the fears that used to hold me back - and now my learning curve has really taken off. Before, was left feeling like was just not cut out for short-selling after my money-losing experience with SNAP. Now after doing a bit more research into short-selling and with better bankroll management, my short of SHLD is doing well. Still have a lot more to learn and practice with short-selling, but the shift to focusing instead on what there is to be learned from setbacks seems to have helped alleviate so much of the self-doubt that used to prevent me from even trying in the first place. Have also started learning technical analysis, looking for value stocks, and buying options - and now keep a journal of all the things have learned from my investments so far, that should be able to help me make better investments moving forward. Never would have imagined any of this would have been in the cards a year ago, when was first starting out investing in FANG stocks this time last year.



Growing By Taking Risks, and Finding Support


This experience of facing obstacles while trying out new things left me wondering if maybe the world isn't always great about providing us all with all the tools we may each need to really thrive in life. So much of conventional wisdom seems to have been arrived at with the majority in mind - go to school, get good grades so you can get a good job, and buy ETFs, etc. People are so quick to slap risk-takers down with a failure label, it's no wonder people wind up so easily discouraged after sticking their neck out and wind up crawling back into the safety of the familiar, even if the familiar is not so great.

And yet so much of life seems to reward those who are willing to take the risk of putting themselves out there. All the times have been told have inspired someone, it's usually been for doing something that had caught their eye because it was outside the box. And so many of those times, was largely able to get to that point in the first place because someone was there to offer support and encouragement, instead of the opposite. Perhaps it's not always going to be easy to find people who have already taken the journey that we're embarking upon, who have faced the same challenges that we now face, who may be able to provide us with a roadmap and the tools we may need to help us get to where it is we want to go. But perhaps it's worth continuing to search until we find that support, even if it has to come from a youtube video or an e-book? E-resources are what helped get me out of my pit of despair after the bitcoin incident - getting stuck felt much more manageable, when was able to find resources that were able to help me get unstuck and moving forward in better shape than ever.



Poker Life Skills


It can be so easy in life to wind up lost or stuck, feeling tired and discouraged, or bruised by life. Have been there, and it's not always easy to muster up the strength we may need to try new things that may be a better fit for us, and more of what we're looking for in life. But perhaps after playing poker, we'll never be starting right from the beginning of anything?

The mindset shift of being careful to avoid tying one's self-esteem to results and instead only focus on what's new to be learned - guess that's more or less that thing from poker of not being results oriented, where it's better to focus on the quality of one's play? Poker's also taught us all proper bankroll management, so we're always planning ahead and prepared for worst-case scenarios - using those same steps while trying to learn investing has helped reduce some of the uncertainty, which even seemed to help reduce some of my fears. And being used to downswings and tilt kept me moving forward in search of books and other resources, when really wasn't feeling very optimistic about any of them possibly being of any help - and then they were! Also coaching and training sites are such a big part of improving with poker - so everybody's already used making learning and ongoing improvements a habit.


Started working for the family company at the beginning of the year, and have set a goal of trying to double net earnings by the end of the year. Have no idea if it will be possible, but am going to keep reading everything under the sun, and plan on trying whatever ideas am able to find, and see?

Have never been the smartest, or the most creative, or the most wise - but there seems to be something to that idea that there's joy to be found in life from putting oneself out there, and being willing to take chances even if there's stumbles along the way. It kind of feels like am running above life expectation with some of the things am now finding myself doing - but if a fish like me can learn new things, perhaps many of us are capable of so much more than we may believe?
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Old 02-02-2018, 12:53 AM   #1027
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Re: Work Space for Learning How to Research Stocks

Too beat to work on the the other thing - will have to save that for the weekend.

Night everybody ...


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Old 02-02-2018, 11:41 AM   #1028
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Re: Work Space for Learning How to Research Stocks

Oh! Dear ...

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Old 02-02-2018, 02:44 PM   #1029
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Re: Work Space for Learning How to Research Stocks

Feel totally spent from doing that year-end summary - may not be able to muster another post like that for like another 4 years or what have you lol


Now back to the silly stuff!

Went back to Bodog/Bovada/Ignition to make another bet on NSYNC, and it wasn't available any more - wonder if that means they've spotted rehearsals, and JC Chasez was there? Or is that maybe more wishful thinking?


Oh well - you know what, was just remembering how last year after the Superbowl, some of the companies who had commercials and do well on Superbowl Sunday wound up having a big boost to their share prices the next day, like Domino's?

So decided to try buying some options for Gatorate/Pepsi/Mountain Dew (PEP), and KFC/Pizza Hut (YUM) - also they also report earnings in the next two weeks, and always meet analyst expectations, and they're profitable companies who grow steadily over time, and they haven't received any recent downgrades, and their price doesn't seem to be overvalued, and the market as a whole's been down for the last couple of days, so the options seemed like they might be an okay price ... hopefully??


Guess am hoping the return on these may wind up greater than the one for correctly guessing the color of Pink's hair lol? Hopefully KFC and Pepsi have some really fun and memorable commercials, that have people feeling like they may wind up selling lots of snacks and drinks on Sunday?


PS. Actually still have more to add to my year-end summary Will maybe try working on it on Sunday while playing the Storm? Or while the US Poker Open is on later tonight?
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Old 02-02-2018, 04:55 PM   #1030
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Re: Work Space for Learning How to Research Stocks

Hi Sam,

Tx for the last post in my thread about your deamons. It made me realize that I am as blind as many people to certain areas. I always read your blog not for the bitcoins/investing but for food, photography, crafting, general life feeling. And in this areas it seems that you are always positive, upbeat, stable, never in doubt..... I just didn't pay attention to the areas, where you struggle, because I have different deamons and all my attention was centered on them.

Tx for this eye opener. It will help me to be a little less blind for others.
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Old 02-03-2018, 02:15 AM   #1031
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Re: Work Space for Learning How to Research Stocks

Was actually wanting to apologize to you, for not being a better neighbour in offering you support with yours throughout the year

Guess am not very comfortable with that sort of stuff - and so when they happen to me, will usually be more private, preferring to burrow away until the moment has passed. Soyou haven't been blind! There maybe hasn't been too much of that sort of stuff here to see.

But yeah, maybe we all have different ones - and we just wind up with whatever we wind up with? Different, but similar ...


We're definitely not alone!
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Old 02-05-2018, 10:01 PM   #1032
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Re: Work Space for Learning How to Research Stocks

New Sweat - BTC Short


What a savage day for the markets across the board today - it was supposedly the worst day in Dow history ... yikes!

Didn't realize last Friday that the downswing of the market last week was so bad - guess compared to bitcoin's downturns it looked not so bad? lol Wound up selling everything as soon as the market opened this morning, after it looked like the sell-off might continue, based on pre-market activity - with Dow futures down, as well as everything else in my portfolio? Then wound up buying a volatility index called VXX instead, which goes up as the market goes down - but got very scared after it started having 2% swings within the first couple of minutes of picking it up, and turned around and quickly sold that too after realizing was probably not experienced enough to be able to trade it profitably just yet? Which sucks, because it wound up with a 33% gain by the end of the day So now just have my Sears short, and some pot stocks - but not too much of each.

My portfolio took a pretty decent-sized hit last week - am optimistic about gains in the long-term, but in the short-term it feels it must feel to be punched in the stomach? Am feeling a little bit sickly - but probably lots of people can relate today to that feeling. Downswings suck ...


Anyways, so one of the tips from my trading book was to not make trades based on fear or greed, but based on when the data seems to show that a situation may have profit-making potential? My book's great, because it emphasizes that there's always uncertainty, so we never know for sure how results will turn out and can only do our best with what we know at the time. So - guess have been trying to soldier on, and try to find ways may possibly be able to make $ during this downturn, for however long it may last?

Peoples' shorts in the trading contest thread are all doing so well right now - wish had felt more comfortable buying more shorts at the beginning of the year, but guess gaining experience takes time, so did the best could do at the time? Did try shorting a bunch of blockchain stocks last week like RIOT and GBTC, but there's none left to borrow - so tonight, finally decided to try shorting BTC on Bitfinex ...

It's a bit scary, because BTC is showing as oversold on the 3 month and 1yr timelines - which can sometimes get people buying? Although it was showing as oversold when $8k got tested a couple of days ago, and the rebound lasted little more than a day before the sell-off resumed - so am not sure how much further it may drop in the short-term?

Decided to give shorting a try tonight because there's that Congressional hearing on bitcoin tomorrow - so it seemed like it might drop a bit more, at least tomorrow? Wish had more experience with technical analysis on stuff with dropping prices - it looks like the next big test level might be $2k on the 3yr timeline, if it gets to that point? But maybe there's signs that the price may stop dropping sooner than that?

So not sure when to buy to cover my short - may only hold on for a day, but maybe longer? Guess will take it one day at a time and see how tomorrow goes? It appears am already up $2.5k, but it looks like there's a chance the price may start going back up to $7k soon? Will have to see?

Last edited by TrustySam; 02-05-2018 at 10:25 PM.
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Old 02-05-2018, 10:14 PM   #1033
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Re: Work Space for Learning How to Research Stocks

The little kids across the street made the cutest snowman over the weekend
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Old 02-05-2018, 11:46 PM   #1034
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Re: Work Space for Learning How to Research Stocks

Bitcoin Short Update


It's always a little scary to try something new - always expect things to disastrously wrong 100% of the time. And then then when things only go bad 50% of the time, things don't seem so bad?


Have been waiting for bitcoin to make a mini-correction upwards for the last couple of hours, so could buy a little more with the rest of my money. But instead of turning upwards, it keeps dropping. Will maybe give it another couple of hours and see if it rises up towards $6.5k?

Here's how things have gone so far - have only had this short for about 3hrs ...


Found this article on Seeking Alpha with an indicator called ROC that this person used on a 10yr timeline to spot sustainable gains?
https://seekingalpha.com/article/408...ing-correction



It's kind of hard to see too much detail from the BTC 5yr graph below, but in the absence of a fresh piece of good news, will it maybe be a sign that the drops in prices are starting to slow down when the ROC starts flattening out and starts turning back up towards zero (the red line at the bottom)?

Am going to try hodling my short, and see if the RSI and ROC are able to help signal that the price drop may be slowing down? Will have to see how things go??

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Old 02-06-2018, 01:26 AM   #1035
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Re: Work Space for Learning How to Research Stocks

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The little kids across the street made the cutest snowman over the weekend
🤣
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Old 02-06-2018, 03:57 PM   #1036
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Re: Work Space for Learning How to Research Stocks

Very classic snow man with carrot nose, are those actual lumps of coal maybe pine cones?
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Old 02-07-2018, 02:10 AM   #1037
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Re: Work Space for Learning How to Research Stocks

That's what we used to use to make snowmen when we were little - pine cones

We had a pine tree in the backyard that would shed all these pinecones in late summer and early fall, and my mom would use some in the Wintertime to make firestarters for the fireplace by dipping them in wax, and then we'd use some for crafty stuff like making snowmen or ornaments for the tree like these ones from the internet ...

Speaking of those pine cones, have a story about them that's about as close to a degen story Sam has, but ...

When was about 3yrs old or so, my Dad started having me help him gather up all those pine cones under the tree before he would mow the lawn. Guess was so short, the task picking of stuff up off the ground was a pretty good fit for me? And my parents even got me a book with Chip and Dale, where they would have all these adventures going all around the place gathering nuts - so then when it was time for my Dad to go mow the lawn, they would ask me if would like to go outside and be like Chip and Dale, and it'd be like this fun little adventure

Then one day, was at the grocery store with my Mom, and while she busy picking out fresh tomatoes from the pile or whatever, had spotted a bunch of bins in the bulk section with nuts, and started to grab handfuls and put them into my pocket, like Chip and Dale. My Mom didn't notice until we got home, and helped me take my jacket off, and it was all heavy from the nuts in my pocket. And she was all like, "what the heck??"

Took some time for my parents to help me sort out the difference between doing yardwork and shop-lifting after that Oh, and they still tease me about my 'brush with the law'


Anyways, will have to go check tomorrow and see what the neighbours used for the eyes and buttons - the snowman turned out so nice, wonder if maybe they picked up an kit at the dollar store or something. Will have to see?


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Old 02-11-2018, 01:05 AM   #1038
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Re: Work Space for Learning How to Research Stocks

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Old 02-11-2018, 12:39 PM   #1039
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Re: Work Space for Learning How to Research Stocks

omg, it's me!

Wonder if Lisa too needed to load up on caffeine to help her polish off the appendix to my year end post from above The pressure's on to finish up that year-end summary for 2017 sooner rather than later, because if it takes too long will wind up having to do one for 2018 as well, and then this blog will never end lol

Guess the appendix will also be a thread wrap-up as well, since more of my posts seem to be in the Investing section these days? Will hopefully have the wrap-up done in a couple of days ... maybe towards the end of the week?

Will have to get going though

Thanks for stopping to say hi SA - a visit from you always makes my day!

(coming to visit you in your thread now )

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Old 02-11-2018, 10:04 PM   #1040
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absolutely you should NOT wrap up this thread! just post about whatever you want to post about whenever you feel like posting. that's what i do.

also,
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Old 02-12-2018, 12:45 AM   #1041
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absolutely you should NOT wrap up this thread! just post about whatever you want to post about whenever you feel like posting. that's what i do.

also,
Work Space for Learning How to Research StocksWork Space for Learning How to Research StocksWork Space for Learning How to Research StocksWork Space for Learning How to Research StocksWork Space for Learning How to Research Stocks
+1
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Old 02-13-2018, 12:25 AM   #1042
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Re: Work Space for Learning How to Research Stocks

+2 to you both!!

Quote:
Quote:

We'll have to hope one of the newer posters to the House of Blogs will pick up the torch and make sure the steady stream of cute cat posts keeps rolling! The need must be met!!

Happy Valentines SA and lapka - thanks you guys
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Old 02-15-2018, 12:53 AM   #1043
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Re: Work Space for Learning How to Research Stocks

+1 to what SA and lapka said!!
Are you really thinking of ending your blog here? Nooo
I think a lot of people would miss it. I havnt been on the site a lot lately but everytime I am one of the first stops I make is here to get a dose of your infectious Canadian cheer.

In honour of this news, I present an early work of mine to you and rename it from ‘why so blue’ to “why you wana make us all so goddayum blue Sam?’


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Old 02-15-2018, 01:54 AM   #1044
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Re: Work Space for Learning How to Research Stocks



Spoiler:
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Old 02-15-2018, 02:07 AM   #1045
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Old 02-15-2018, 10:55 PM   #1046
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Wow, marke. - that painting's beautiful!! Knew you enjoyed travelling and outdoor activities, and take the time to enjoy the lovely sunsets you're able to see from your apartment - super cool you can paint too

Pretty amazing if that's one of your earlier works

Know how private you are, and art is so personal, so thanks so much for sharing - it really upgraded the quality of the posts in this thread


And HUMBLE. brought the catss!! That Shaq shimmy is one of my favourites too - see it all the time online, and it still cracks me up every time!!
eg


Was wondering how you both know am fond of art and cats - guess you all have really been reading my thread, even though it's so silly

Will still be posting around 2+2 - my urge to post cats will still need an outlet, so will have to figure out a way to weave them into the investing section somehow?


Thanks so much for the thoughtful messages marke. and HUMBLE. - my favourite memories of this thread are when you all have stopped by to say hi and share your stories. Hank too! Maybe we could all start hanging around in his blog now instead, or ScreaminAsian and lapka's ... that could be fun


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Old 02-16-2018, 01:29 PM   #1047
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Old 02-16-2018, 01:59 PM   #1048
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Re: Work Space for Learning How to Research Stocks

I am optimistic. As long as Sam doesn't close this thread, she will come back.
Probably with another theme .
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Old 02-17-2018, 03:22 AM   #1049
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Re: Work Space for Learning How to Research Stocks

Hope by your responses that means my blog brought you all the same joy and happiness that you all brought me. It meant a lot to me that you would take the time to stop by to share some laughs with me, while on this adventure of life we're all on – will miss that very much!

Was going to write an Appendix to my year-end post, but don't seem to be ready to make a summary of my investing experience just yet - so there may be one to come at some point ... if there's ever enough to write about ...


Love you guys
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Old 02-17-2018, 03:30 AM   #1050
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Hope by your responses that means my blog brought you all the same joy and happiness that you all brought me. It meant a lot to me that you would take the time to stop by to share some laughs with me, while on this adventure of life we're all on – will miss that very much!

Was going to write an Appendix to my year-end post, but don't seem to be ready to make a summary of my investing experience just yet - so there may be one to come at some point ... if there's ever enough to write about ...


Love you guys
It does. Your are a very big + in this community. It would be a loss if you disappear completely.
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