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Old 10-10-2018, 01:34 PM   #476
FWWM
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Re: Suitedjustice's Ongoing Mid-life Crisis

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I think we've found a rare spot where the oop player always has the advantage on the river, being the first to have the option to bust all in.

I can't picture Hero pulling that stunt on the turn, as it takes that last card on the river to smash the old board into a million pieces.
That's total tournament thinking, there is no advantage to the OOP player just because he can shove first, he can't bust the other player (supposedly, unless he is playing for his last $ which might happen on rare occasions)

As for the hand esp in 1/2 Id never bet the turn here. You fold out everything worse mostly and nobody ever folds a J. I mean on rare occasions either of the two might happen but not enough.

I think there is even a saying to that, I dont recall exactly but basically it says peeps dont fold boats, no matter the situation/action. That makes it a good value bet if you have an A and a terrible bluff. Id bet more here too with an A. I normally advocate aggressive play but thats the wrong situation here
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Old 10-10-2018, 01:40 PM   #477
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Re: Suitedjustice's Ongoing Mid-life Crisis

And 25 game cold streaks are totally standard in tourney poker even if you have a supposedly strong edge. I think that's not a huge part of your BR but that's your stuff. I'd be more concerned about the rake and structures, it's hard to have a huge edge when you have like 20min levels and 30% rake.
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Old 10-11-2018, 07:39 PM   #478
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Re: Suitedjustice's Ongoing Mid-life Crisis

In a few posts, you guys have concisely and effectively summed up the pros and cons of grinding small stakes liveaments. The Wynn/Encore has added a real nice one starting Oct 15th: $140, $5k gtd, 30 minute blinds, $T15,000 starting stacks--AFAIK the best live offering at that level in Las Vegas.

I'll be playing that once a week. If I cash there, or otherwise run well in cash/freerolls from the previous week, then I'll add a second TBD tourney off the proceeds--trying to minimax the tourney eROI over variance x time.

Last edited by suitedjustice; 10-11-2018 at 07:55 PM.
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Old 10-12-2018, 02:43 PM   #479
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Re: Suitedjustice's Ongoing Mid-life Crisis

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In a few posts, you guys have concisely and effectively summed up the pros and cons of grinding small stakes liveaments. The Wynn/Encore has added a real nice one starting Oct 15th: $140, $5k gtd, 30 minute blinds, $T15,000 starting stacks--AFAIK the best live offering at that level in Las Vegas.

I'll be playing that once a week. If I cash there, or otherwise run well in cash/freerolls from the previous week, then I'll add a second TBD tourney off the proceeds--trying to minimax the tourney eROI over variance x time.
Have you seen this?
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Old 10-12-2018, 05:22 PM   #480
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Re: Suitedjustice's Ongoing Mid-life Crisis

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Have you seen this?
Thanks Sheep! I'll be using that as a reference.
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Old 10-12-2018, 05:32 PM   #481
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Re: Suitedjustice's Ongoing Mid-life Crisis

The challenge had a setback at the Orleans on Wednesday. I had AA and KK cracked within 4 minutes of each other, both on low SPR flops where I was never folding.

The shorter stack giveth; the shorter stack taketh away. I still have two stacks and a short buy left to burn at $1/$3, so all is not lost.

I'm getting behind on my posts, which is appropriate, as I have one on the front burner about procrastination. That will be posted...eventually.

Wednesday: Orleans: 4 hours:
(-$600)

Three Stacks Challenge:$1/$3 Level:

Link to Challenge Rules

Starting bankroll: $600
Last bankroll: $1315
Challenge day progress: -$600
Current bankroll: $715
Bankroll needed for $2/$5: $1875
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Old 10-12-2018, 08:44 PM   #482
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Re: Suitedjustice's Ongoing Mid-life Crisis

Procrastination

Two years ago I found and bookmarked a post on the top page of Reddit titled along the lines of "Watch this video and never procrastinate again!"

I watched it today for the first time

A lot of the video is standard rational emotive Psych PhD gobbledygook, so I'll give the most basic cliffs: we procrastinate because it feels good in the short term. Later, when the consequences hit us, there's a disconnect between the pain we feel in the present and the pleasure we felt from avoiding it in the past. We treat them as two separate events, only tenuously related.

The negative conditioning of avoiding pain > the punishment later on. Punishment rarely ever establishes a good conditioning link; it only leads to more avoidance behaviors.

I'm a grown man who has literally pumped his fist in the air after deciding to put off an arduous task until some unspecified later time. As an example, I've avoided buying health insurance for months. I've looked into it and it looks complicated as ****, because it is as complicated as ****. But if I don't get it, and I get hurt or sick, I'm ruined, busto, bankrupt. I'll look into it tomorrow.

So yesterday, I had 7 more hours still to play at the Flamingo to make their 15 hour nut required for their weekly freeroll. It's a good freeroll: $5 (nuisance fee) entry, usually 100 runners: top 20 get $400 each, 21-40 get $200 each. $500 in, $12,000 out. Easy game.

The freeroll starts at 10AM on Friday. At 2PM on Thursday, I'd had a big buffet lunch and was feeling a bit logy on my way to the cash game. I went home instead and took a long nap, helped along by two big cans of 14% alcohol Four Loko Gold.

No problem: I would simply play from midnight to 7, have breakfast, and hit the freeroll. I had all the time in the world.

I got on the table at 11:40PM. After that it was a grind. I was up and down, up and down. Around 4 AM a terrible thought hit me and I checked my poker log to confirm. I had underestimated my hours. I had actually needed 9, not 7 hours, to make the freeroll.

No problem: I would suck it up and play until 8:40 instead of 6:40. I'd still have enough time to grab breakfast at the end. I'd just have to roll with a 9 hour session, although I've never been equipped to go much past 7 hours at one table.

Around 7AM, with the morning sun beating through the glass doors, and the morning smells permeating, and the fresh scrubbed faces walking around, I was dead even and dead tired, thinking of myself as being in an overtime purgatory of my own making. That's when I picked up TT on the button multiway and saw a T4489 board.

I almost never slowplay the flop at $1/$2. You make a hand and you bet and raise it early and often, and that's how you make money at this level. But I had smashed that flop to splinters, so I just flatcalled the opener on it. On the turn I ran into an unfortunate fellow traveler holding 88, and I got his stack. Massive cooler sir.

Around 8:20 I was in the home stretch. Only 20 more minutes...19 minutes. I heard the dealer explaining the freeroll to one of the players. I heard the words 'up until 8AM'. 18 minutes....17 minutes until 8:40 and my 15 hours.

I popped up in my chair. "Is there a cutoff? For today's Freeroll?"
"Yeah, it's 8AM." The dealer told me.

Spoiler:


I racked up and double checked my hours for the week with the floor. I had a few extra minutes in there from previous sessions. I had 14.68 hours for the week, cut off at 8 AM. Anything after then didn't count towards my 15 hours. I was not going to the freeroll.

Flamingo: 9 hours:
+$313

Last edited by suitedjustice; 10-12-2018 at 08:54 PM.
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Old 10-13-2018, 02:28 PM   #483
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Re: Suitedjustice's Ongoing Mid-life Crisis

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