I had a swingy sort of session at Red Rock today. I started out $200 in the hole after running two sets into flush draws which both got there on the river. Fortunately, both villains didn't have full stacks.
On the first hand we were all in on the turn; on the second hand Villain shoved his last $30 into a pot of $130 when the flush came on the river, and I made the crying call with my set.
Could I have made an exploitative fold there on the river, getting more than 4:1? Sure, if I'd known the guy and had played with him for several hours--at the very least--in order to develop the sort of accuracy I would need for that read. Otherwise, at least 20% of the time vs an unknown player at $1/$2, I'm going to call that last $30 and see some silly hands which lose to my set.
On the third set I flopped, I adjusted by turning quads, and that worked nicely. I would recommend this play in a great number of spots. The villain only had a $70 stack, but I got it--he shoved
his last $30 with a gutshot. Along with that, I won a $100 high hand of the hour bonus.
The table was nice and soft for the first two hours, and then a maniac sat down two seats to my left and raised every hand in his first orbit. I picked up 9
9
on the button and opened to $10. The loose passive SB called and the maniac in the BB 3-bet to $30. He had already donked off $100 and he had a little over $100 back, so I found myself in a quandry.
I didn't want to call, as I would hate a lot of flops, and he would be able to put pressure on me. Neither he nor the SB had stacks big enough for me to call for pure set mining. But I didn't want to fold because after one orbit I didn't quite know what kind of maniac I was dealing with.
I've occasionally seen a good LAG (or even a TAG) sit down at a new table, donk a stack away, and then make up for it two or threefold by playing solid after everyone became good and convinced that he or she was a whale. It's a high variance play but I've seen it work.
So, I didn't want to miss an opportunity to get called by a lower pair or Ax or something silly if this particular villain was spending some advertising chips.
And if it turned out that the Villain was instead a good LAG who was splashing around small but was ready to fold to real pressure, well then I might actually get a fold from TT or JJ.
I shoved my 99 for his last $100. SB got out of the way and Villain called with JJ and held. Ah well.
Red Rock Station:
4.5 hours:
(-$36)
Last edited by suitedjustice; 09-16-2020 at 11:12 PM.