I have a feeling I know why I've been using Grok quite a bit recently and have only used ChatGPT and others only seldomly.
Grok just has a better tone of voice.
GPT reminds me of teachers from school.
Grok rewards me for asking good questions.
GPT gives generic ashe.

I just plugged in an absolutely unique question into both LLMs and Grok's was unanimously superior.

Sleep hasn't been great these past few days. Had a bit of an elevated mood which was a great time. Im expecting things to normalize within 5 days.

Damn. I just hit my peak in life. That means its only downward from here on out.

"Poker requires you to be both a mathematician and a psychologist in real-time." -- Grok

This song is a masterpiece.



No matter where you are
I can still hear you when you drown
You've traveled very fary
Just to see if I'll come around
When I'm down

No matter where you are
I can still hear you when you dream
You've traveled very far
You traveled far like a star
That you are

I slept 4 consecutive hours last night.

Now let's stay up for another 40 again.

Round and round we go.

Who could know it would end so well?

that can't be good for anyone

Fluid theory in probability, particularly in the context of sports or any dynamic system, involves considering probabilities as not fixed but rather as part of a fluid, changing landscape where conditions, performance, and other variables can alter outcomes over time or under different scenarios. Here's how this might apply to your scenario of two teams in a sporting event:

Dynamic Probabilities: Instead of static probabilities, we consider that the probabilities of Team A and Team B winning can shift based on various factors:
Momentum: If Team A has been on a winning streak, their probability might temporarily increase.
Injuries: An injury to a key player might lower one team's probability while increasing the other's.
Weather: Conditions like rain might favor one team's style of play over the other, affecting their probability of winning.
Home Advantage: The team playing at home might have a slightly higher probability due to crowd support, familiarity with the environment, etc.
Fluid Model Application:
Probability Current: Think of probability like a fluid flow where the "probability current" moves from one team to another based on real-time developments. This concept from quantum mechanics can metaphorically describe how probabilities shift. For example:
If Team A starts strong, the "probability current" might flow towards them, increasing their win probability.
If Team B makes a remarkable comeback, the current might shift back, reflecting the new likelihood of Team B winning.
Modeling with Fluid Dynamics Concepts:
Continuity Equation: Similar to how mass or energy is conserved in fluid dynamics, you can think of probability conservation where the sum of all probabilities for all possible outcomes (including ties or unexpected events) is always 1. But within this, the "density" of probability can move around, representing how likely it is for specific outcomes under changing conditions.
Practical Implications:
Live Betting: In live betting, these fluid probabilities are constantly updated as the game progresses, reflecting the changing situation on the field.
Strategy Adjustment: Teams or coaches might adjust strategies based on perceived shifts in these fluid probabilities, trying to influence or adapt to the current flow of probability.

In this context, your initial idea of giving each team a unique probability not summing to 100% can be seen as capturing a snapshot where these probabilities are at their ceiling or optimal for each team under assumed best conditions. However, in reality, these probabilities would be in constant flux, much like fluid in motion, adapting to the myriad of variables introduced by the actual play of the game.

Made a sharp left for 29 hours of sleep.

If this year were to dazzle as much as it sparkles, may it be a footnote that on the first two days I netted (-$50) and (+$1).

The pendulum swung and I almost died. Only to be reborn above in glitter and constellation.

The "physics of love" isn't a recognized scientific field, but we can certainly explore some fun analogies and metaphors that relate physics principles to aspects of love and relationships:

Attraction and Gravity:
Much like gravity pulls objects towards each other, there's an attraction between people that can be likened to gravitational forces. The closer you are, the stronger the pull. However, unlike gravity, human attraction isn't just about proximity; it involves chemistry, psychology, and social dynamics.
Energy and Momentum:
Love can be seen through the lens of energy transfer. Relationships require energy input in forms like time, attention, and effort. Momentum in relationships might be thought of as the drive or the 'inertia' that keeps a relationship going once it's started. But, like in physics, external forces (life events, misunderstandings) can change this momentum.
Equilibrium and Balance:
Relationships often strive for a kind of equilibrium where both parties feel balanced in terms of give and take. This could be compared to a system in physics where forces balance out to result in stability or harmony.
Waves and Vibration:
Love can send waves of emotion through us, much like how sound or light travels through waves. The frequency of these waves might represent the intensity or the nature of emotions - from the calm, long wavelengths of comfortable companionship to the high-frequency excitement of new love.
Quantum Entanglement:
Although this is a stretch for a metaphor, one might compare the deep connection in some relationships to quantum entanglement, where two particles are so intimately connected that the state of one instantaneously influences the other, no matter the distance.
Thermodynamics of Love:
Love can be hot or cold, intense or soothing, much like the study of heat in thermodynamics. The 'heat' of passion might be considered analogous to thermal energy, while the entropy in relationships might reflect how love can sometimes become disordered or chaotic.
Elasticity and Resilience:
Relationships can be elastic; they can stretch or compress under stress but return to their original state if the bonds are strong enough. This might reflect resilience in love, where couples bounce back from challenges.

Remember, these are playful analogies and not to be taken as literal scientific explanations. Human emotions and relationships are far more complex, involving layers of psychology, sociology, and biology that go beyond simple physics concepts. However, thinking about love in terms of physics can give us a novel perspective on the dynamics of human connections.

Hold on tight to your dreams.
- ELO

Im not worried about AGI whatsoever. The chances that all it wants to do is play video games and smoke digital weed is greater than it obliterating humanity.

Doing an experiment to see if I can add 10% to a bankroll each day for 20 days straight.

Started with $20, playing various stakes. Goal is to hit $135 by February.

Day 1. $21.65

20(1.10)^20

1. 22
2. 24.2
3. 26.62
4. 29.28
5. 32.21
6. 35.43
7. 38.97
8. 42.87
9. 47.16
10. 51.87
11. 57.06
12. 62.77
13. 69.05
14. 75.95
15. 83.54
16. 91.90
17. 101.09
18. 111.20
19. 122.32
20. 135

AORN I have $40, so I'm 6 days ahead of schedule.

No more hardcore poker updates. But I will continue to talk about the game in passing.

I also don't expect to meet the schedule posted above, despite being quite likely to finish above 135.