Really interesting stuff... The way you play your hands is almost inspiring.... Going to study hand history till I fall asleep....

Understood. But if I hit on the turn, that leaves him (double-check me here) 6 outs? Which is 12% equity, giving me 88% equity??? 88% equity that gives me 2.5-1? I'll take that any day.

I may have the outs wrong here (I'm writing this quickly because I have an event today) but the remaining equity on my end still seems worthwhile.

88% equity? but the money's already in when you make the bet your equity is 32% if no sets, 25% if a set, and 16% if you have another 98 involved

And if you hit on the turn he has 10 outs on the river - 1 card to quads and 3 of each of the 3 cards on the board to make a FH. That's 20% chance for him, but again that's assuming you catch your hand after the money goes in.

That's why your equity is so much lower against the set. 20% of the time when you do make your hand, he will catch up. So your equity is 80% of what it would be against a hand with no redraws.

On the particular hand we are discussing, how much did you actually put in on the turn and what was the total pot size?

I called the all-ins on the flop. So there wasn't a betting round on the turn

The variance in poker is a fickle mistress . . .

I had a pretty great session last night to stop my previous downward slide. As I posted here, I had a terrible Friday and Saturday with my results. I took Sunday off to take a gun class and I wasn't feeling 100% on Monday so I didn't play (not going to lie, I was probably slightly afraid of taking another loss).

Yesterday, Tuesday, I blocked out the time to play. But my sinuses were giving me trouble on the way to the Venetian so I decided to call it off - I simply won't play when I'm not 100%. Went home, took a nap and felt better when I woke up so I decided to play.

The game at the Stations casinos seem to suit me a little better. You have to be a little looser but also recognize when you're beat. Players are a little more predictable but I've also been in sessions where there's 7 limpers preflop, consistently.

I took a hit when my straight ran into a boat and I was down for most of the session. But towards the end I had two players pay me off on a flush and I also flopped a full house that I slow played to get the guy all-in. It was a good day.

I'm now just $25 from getting back to even. Almost 80 hours of documented poker and I'm even. That's actually a positive thing for me - I've never played poker this long without being down. So my optimism remains high.

I could play today but I'm going to go shoot my new rifle instead, have some fun, and then get back out with the hours on Thursday.

Good to hear you're back on the uptick. Played anymore tournaments recently?

No, just did some of the WSOP deepstacks that I reported on here. I enjoyed those (3 total) but didn't come close to cashing. However, during the last one I did manage to meet a very nice Christian couple from Florida and we had lunch the next day. So, I got some new friends out of that tournament and that's a win to me .

I'm kinda just burned-out on tourneys for now. I'm back to doing my cash games for the next little bit here.

Pics of rifle.

I meant the flop. sorry.

Sure, why not. It's an AR-15 that I built from parts in a class here in Vegas. I had an amazing time at the class, learned a ton. The receiver is Anderson - so not top-notch, but good enough for a solid build. Some of my internal parts are Spikes Tactical

It's chambered in .223 and 5.56 NATO. I've also paired it with a Nikon P223 that's 3x9x40. It's only my second long-rifle (I also have a Beretta ARX160) and it's powerful. I took it to the range yesterday and it was amazing!



This is my first grouping at 25 yards. Not bad for it being my first time ever shooting a .223.


I will be building another one soon, but in desert camo, because I want to start hunting coyote this winter.

Endorsing hunting coyote, those thing are straight up arsehole, wankers and dicks!

cool ar, but must ask out of curiosity...is there any point/purpose to hunting coyote?

Q: Why hunt coyote?

A: Do you not?

TL;DR my terrible acting skills got me paid off today - I love tourists.

My #rungood continued today and my overall results are back in positive territory

On the days I play, I've settled into a little routine. I bill some hours in the morning with my clients. I have lunch at my favorite Thai place where the waitresses are cute and they know I'm a good tipper. And as I'm finishing up my Thai ice tea, I bring up Bravo Poker and see what's rolling where. It's a good routine and gets me focused to play.

I saw that the Mirage had at least two 1-2 tables going so I headed over there. I bought in for $200 and sat down. It was only then that I noticed that $200 made me the big stack. Most players didn't even have $100 in front of them and the two other big stacks were all less than $220. So I don't know what happened there, but this was not a good thing. A quick check with @Natamus confirmed that I should find another game!

Even though it is hotter than heck (and even a little humid) today I decided to walk over to the Venetian. It's good for my fat butt to get some exercise in and it got my heart rate going a little bit.

Venetian was a much better game but a little nitty. I was there with at least 2 other grinders and I wasn't sure about the other one. Keep in mind this is around 1PM, so still a little early to take advantage of the tourists.

But, all I need is one loose tourist and I got him! Nothing happened for basically the first three hours I was there - I folded tons of hands and I only stole a few of them, keeping me right around $200.

In the BB I woke up with AQs and four limpers into me. I would usually raise in this spot, but I think I was fumbling with my headphones or something so I just checked.

The flop came down a beautiful AQQ That's my second time this week flopping the monster nuts.

We checked around on the flop. Turn brought a 9, I check, all fold to MidPosition who makes it $10, button makes it $20. At that point, it's lights, camera, action - I turn on the Hollywood and tank a bit, about a minute or so. I even repeated the action, "wait, wait, who bet? And then he raised? gee, golly, $20 to go, huh?" and I'm pointing to the people as I go. Guys, if I ever start repeating the action like some fawking rookie in front of you, just fold, that's all just my poor acting skills.

I decided to just smooth call, just begging that MP would raise or at least call - he folded, unfortunately. So I'm now HU with the button.

River comes a blank. I'm first to act and I didn't want to risk the button just checking. So I make a bet for $40 - just throwing some chum in the water, really. Button almost immediately makes it $100, I shove and he snap calls. He turns over trip queens with a weak kicker.

As I turn over, I tell him, "I flopped it" and he seemed shocked. I guess I didn't give off a vibe that said that AQ was in my range?!?! Anyways, he doubled me up and that was that . . . a good day.

Just prior to this hand, a cute lady sat next to me. However, she was also wearing a ton of perfume. I've always had sensitive sinuses and I didn't want to risk getting a headache from that perfume. So I decided to leave instead - but still a good session.

lol acting unnecessary, tourist never gettin off trip Q flop BUT makes it all more entertaining to read!

I view it as my public service - you gotta entertain the tourists as you beat them up. I'm too fat to do some Cirque-esque flips for them, but I can act on their hands just a little

+1
It's more the fact that you checked your option with AQ because you were fumbling with your headphones

#nicefumblerecovery

Yeah, I guess I got a little lucky on that one. The flop certainly drew my attention!

Continued great read. Keep posting please. (You are living my dream )

Thanks for saying that man. I'll certainly try to keep on updating this as my growth progresses.

Like Matt, I have to keep reminding you that real life is not Rounders!

Matt Damon Bad Poker Acting

Your comment was short . . .

Almost like a young man coming in for quickie . . .

I feel so unsatisfied . . .

Did you take an allergy tab?
Are all the bills paid? Rent? Electric? Gas? Audi? Internet?
Is everything good with clients and billing?
Is the laundry done?
Anything pending for Penn State? (I'm in grad school)
Are you coming back to a clean home and bedroom?
Is your mind clear of any headaches?
Do you have your poker bag ready?
Are you freshly showered and shaved?
Are your hands and nails ready? (I'm OCD about my hands)
Is your iphone, iPod & extra battery pack fully charged?
Do you have your lucky coin? I don't go anywhere without it

If the answer is "no" to any of these then I don't go out and play. Easy game.