Quote:
Originally Posted by The Yugoslavian
Fwiw I'd bet that you will be a dog with short-term market investment. It will be very hard to figure out if you are actually making good decisions or not unless you invest a big amount of time into getting good at it. And you likely need to have the psychological makeup to not be emotionally attached to any of the outcomes.
Based on my virtual 2p2 read of you and what you've just said, my recommendation is to view it as a hobby that is likely slightly -EV or at least more -EV compared to managing a normal portfolio where you just sit on everything.
Yeah, this is all pretty true.
I do have a decent handle on technical trading. I spent years studying this. I also have the business channel on all day and I feel like I'm a lot better at the feel of the markets.
But I'm sorely lacking on the emotional side. I really beat myself up when I make a trade that doesn't go the way I want it to go. It affects my decision making.
My portfolio right now is just now coming back to pre-pandemic levels. My risk aversion put me on a lot of value and dividend stocks which have not done well at all. I'm not in any of the tech high-flyers at all. I don't mean things like appl/msft, etc. I haven't been on board things like zoom that have rocketed up recently. Looks like the rotation back to the things I like and own has begun and I don't see why it won't continue.
Given all that, I will continue to keep a bit of cash available and will trade around positions. But I doubt I'll be very active.