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President Trump President Trump

03-02-2017 , 05:55 PM
Ehh. Again, I don't think people realize how dire the situation was at the time. I don't get scared about things very much, as I'm an even keeled type of guy. There were two times in my life I was actually scared, the day my father died and a day in September, 2008, when I thought the financial system was going to collapse.

The story isn't that well known but there was a day when panic started setting in and institutions started pulling their money out of the banks. The Dow was down a few hundred points but that was normal during that time. Then at around 11am things started getting really ugly and it was down 700 points. I remember asking what was going on across the room and a trader told me that there's a rumor going around New York that they broke the buck. People started getting really nervous and I remember telling my wife to get ready to quietly leave work, go to the bank, take out as much cash as they would let her, and go to the supermarket and buy a lot of food. She asked me if I was kidding and I assured her I was not. Thankfully Paulson stepped in and guaranteed the funds at around noon that day.

Again, the seriousness of the credit crisis was mostly unknown. Google it ("breaking buck 2008"), there are a few articles written about it, but a lot of people just don't know the story.

It really was a scary moment.
03-02-2017 , 05:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by aoFrantic
I'll never get tired of bahbah and wil having ~0 economic knowledge but thinking they do are professors while trying to minimize very, very complex issues into one sentence answers.
I'm not an expert, but I do have a finance degree and worked for an investment bank and other financial institutions. You do continue your streak of being absolutely wrong about everything though. Very impressive.
03-02-2017 , 06:02 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by aoFrantic
I'll never get tired of bahbah and wil having ~0 economic knowledge but thinking they do are professors while trying to minimize very, very complex issues into one sentence answers.
I don't think I am a professor - most economics professors are idiots. I wasn't trying to simplify it that, but he said he didn't want to talk about it so I just wanted to get one question answered.
03-02-2017 , 06:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by samsonh
Greed got us there. Government prevented the bottom falling out. Private sector was bad at times and good at times. You are not nearly as clever as you think you are.
greed from who?

What did the government do that kept the bottom from falling out? Once they took that action did they take other action & was that action a good or bad thing for the economy?

I don't think I'm as clever as you probably think I think I am.
03-02-2017 , 06:14 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bahbahmickey
greed from who?

What did the government do that kept the bottom from falling out? Once they took that action did they take other action & was that action a good or bad thing for the economy?

I don't think I'm as clever as you probably think I think I am.
Greed from investors who bought the securities. Greed from the investment banks and rating agencies who wanted fees. Greed from homeowners who bought more than they could afford.

The government organized backstops and created TARP, remember? Are you being purposely obtuse? There are many books and documentaries out there about this. And yes, not letting the major banks in the country fail was undoubtedly a good thing.
03-02-2017 , 06:16 PM
Here's a pretty good blurb about it. Watch the 4 minute video, it's pretty enlightening. The guy is a jolly looking fellow so it's amusing how he tells the story in a mild manner.

https://www.google.com/amp/amp.usato...story/2800783/


I also remember a friend telling me he was on a tradefloor at a major bank and a trader had tears in his eyes and told him this is the day that America ends. Lol. Funny now, not so funny then.
03-02-2017 , 06:18 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by samsonh
Greed from investors who bought the securities. Greed from the investment banks and rating agencies who wanted fees. Greed from homeowners who bought more than they could afford.

The government organized backstops and created TARP, remember? Are you being purposely obtuse? There are many books and documentaries out there about this. And yes, not letting the major banks in the country fail was undoubtedly a good thing.
This is an amusing take on the situation. Lol @ greed.
03-02-2017 , 06:22 PM
Wil, Samsonh is basically paraphrasing "The Big Short." You seem to be implying that book/movie is wrong?
03-02-2017 , 06:27 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by aoFrantic
Wil, Samsonh is basically paraphrasing "The Big Short." You seem to be implying that book/movie is wrong?
I'm amused about talking to people who obviously have no idea what they are talking about. It's really funny how you are so sure of yourself about everything, too. Meanwhile, you are constantly wrong about everything. Not just a few things, but every single thing.

Lol.
03-02-2017 , 06:36 PM
That's a great answer. Thanks William.
03-02-2017 , 06:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by aoFrantic
That's a great answer. Thanks William.
You proving me correct about your record of being wrong about everything is so great. I love it.

You do realize my name isn't William, right? There is a reason I call myself "wil" instead of "will". I'm not trying to be trendy by dropping a letter.
03-02-2017 , 06:40 PM
Warren, I don't know how you can be "proven correct" when you dodge answering the simplest of questions.
03-02-2017 , 06:42 PM
Peeps, in Content threads we really need to try to minimize posts that are entirely snarky and insulting to other posters. If people are so obviously wrong, it should not be difficult to point out where they are wrong. Or at least engage in some semblance of a reasoned discussion.

Nobody wants micro-moderation of Content threads where every personal-attacky post is deleted, but that is the direction we may be headed if the frequency of those types of posts does not diminish.
03-02-2017 , 06:59 PM
Lol
03-02-2017 , 07:05 PM
Here's an interesting description of that day. Heh. Was a scary ****ing day.

http://www.fa-mag.com/news/five-year...off-15412.html


“Never has the ground under my feet felt as shaky as it did on September 16, 2008, when I received a call on my office phone telling me the Reserve Primary Fund – a money market fund – had broken the buck and indefinitely suspended redemptions of its shares. That meant investors could not withdraw their money. That day, and the days that followed, were marked by chaos and confusion as hundreds of thousands of panicked clients called their advisors.”
— Stewardship: Lessons Learned from the Lost Culture of Wall Street

Here's another

https://www.thebalance.com/reserve-primary-fund-3305671

The next day was the closest the United States ever came to an economic collapse. On September 17, 2008, investors withdrew a record $144.5 billion from money market accounts. They had always been the safest of investments. That's where companies, sovereign wealth funds, and even retirees keep their cash. During a typical week, only about $7 billion is withdrawn.

Panicked investors were moving the funds to U.S. Treasuries. That forced yields to drop below zero. In other words, investors were so panicked that they no longer cared if they got any return on their investment. They just didn't want to lose capital.
03-02-2017 , 07:58 PM
The last 20 or so posts are fairly indicative of why anonymous posting would be a good thing for this forum.

Wil's position on the economic downturn of 08 seems fairly different to bahbah's, yet because of history, Ao seems to lump Wil and bahbah together in to same camp.

Samsonh's post on greed doesnt seem to be in opposition to what Wil is saying but again due to history, Wil seems ready to counter "lol greed" even though i am not sure what he disagrees with.

You guys need to stop looking at the author of posts and focus on the post themselves.
03-02-2017 , 08:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by goofyballer
In first amendment news, hot on the heels of Arizona introducing a bill to subject protesters to racketeering laws:



Hey, that's healthy. Now we have the Tucson police department shoving an 86 year old woman to the ground and pepper spraying a 65 year old woman who tries to help her.

2017, in which the right to protest is a partisan issue.
Across the Country, a Republican Push to Rein In Protesters

Quote:
In Washington State, a Republican senator who helped run Mr. Trump’s campaign there filed legislation that would make it a felony to commit “economic terrorism,” defined as intentionally breaking the law to intimidate private citizens or to obstruct economic activity.

A Minnesota bill, responding to protests over the police shooting last year of an African-American man in a suburb of St. Paul, would allow cities to sue demonstrators who violate the law for the cost of policing their protests. And in North Carolina, a legislator promised to propose a measure making it illegal to “threaten, intimidate or retaliate” against state officials after hecklers denounced Gov. Pat McCrory, a Republican who lost a re-election bid in November.
Note the discrepancy between the words and actions of these lawmakers:

Quote:
We support the First Amendment altogether and want people to get out and do what they want,” said State Senator George B. Gainer, Republican of Florida, who has proposed legislation that would raise fines for blocking traffic and, like the Tennessee measure, indemnify drivers who accidentally hit protesters. “But they shouldn’t endanger themselves or others.”
Combined with things like Trump's deputy assistant calling opposition to VOICE "un-American", the message from Republicans is clear: we're back to Bush-era rules of patriotism where protesting or opposing the president is unpatriotic and un-American. We had an 8 year break where it was okay to protest again, but the old rules are back now.
03-02-2017 , 08:46 PM
For the "wahhhh fake news liberal media" fans, I saw today that the Washington Post published this amazing, fawning opinion piece by Hugh Hewitt about Trump's speech:

Quote:
Only the willfully blind saw anything except a well-constructed, powerfully delivered address by President Trump to Congress on Tuesday night.
Assuming that "well-constructed" doesn't have to mean "truthful" or "accurate", yeah, nice take there Hugh. The "fake news liberal media" must really be making some advanced chess plays by publishing this!
03-02-2017 , 08:53 PM
And speaking of Trump's speech, one part of his immigration argument was this:

Quote:
“It is a basic principle that those seeking to enter a country ought to be able to support themselves financially. Yet, in America, we do not enforce this rule, straining the very public resources that our poorest citizens rely upon,” Trump said in his address to a joint session of Congress. “According to the National Academy of Sciences, our current immigration system costs America's taxpayers many billions of dollars a year.”
According to the study he cited, that's true for first-generation immigrants, but the same study says that over 75 years, the descendants of first-generation immigrants will contribute more in taxes than the first-generation immigrants received.

Quote:
The authors of the report found that the children of immigrants are “among the strongest economic and fiscal contributors in the population.”
Additionally, immigrants are more educated now than in previous generations:

Quote:
In 1970, the average recent immigrant had 11.6 years of education, according to the report. By 2012, that figure had steadily increased to 13.4 years, and only a quarter had not finished high school, compared with just over half in 1970.
Remember, Trump cited this study. Immigration is a positive investment for the country, as it always has been.
03-02-2017 , 09:03 PM
LOL Mike Pence used a personal email that got hacked

Quote:
While serving as governor of Indiana, Vice President Mike Pence allegedly used a private email account to conduct state business, including the discussion of sensitive issues and homeland security, according to a report by USA Today. The same personal account was hacked last summer.

Pence communicated via a personal AOL account with top advisers, according to emails released in a public records request. The topic of emails included the state's response to terror attacks and even an update from the FBI about the arrests of several men on federal terror-related charges.
Of ****ing course Mike Pence is the old grandpa that still has an @aol.com address
03-02-2017 , 10:16 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by amoeba
The last 20 or so posts are fairly indicative of why anonymous posting would be a good thing for this forum.

Wil's position on the economic downturn of 08 seems fairly different to bahbah's, yet because of history, Ao seems to lump Wil and bahbah together in to same camp.

Samsonh's post on greed doesnt seem to be in opposition to what Wil is saying but again due to history, Wil seems ready to counter "lol greed" even though i am not sure what he disagrees with.

You guys need to stop looking at the author of posts and focus on the post themselves.

This is 98% great and insightful but that 2% is loosely implying there's an equal distribution on all 'sides'.


Quote:
Originally Posted by 2OutsNoProb
In excess of 90% of the posts of the person you just defended over the last 3 or 4 years have involved him telling whoever he's talking to that they're a loser or an idiot who knows nothing.
03-02-2017 , 10:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by amoeba
The last 20 or so posts are fairly indicative of why anonymous posting would be a good thing for this forum.

Wil's position on the economic downturn of 08 seems fairly different to bahbah's, yet because of history, Ao seems to lump Wil and bahbah together in to same camp.

Samsonh's post on greed doesnt seem to be in opposition to what Wil is saying but again due to history, Wil seems ready to counter "lol greed" even though i am not sure what he disagrees with.

You guys need to stop looking at the author of posts and focus on the post themselves.
I think it's pretty obvious that me and bahbah disagree, you are correct. My issue with samsonh's generic "greed" assessment is that it's simply, well, simplistic. It's such a sweeping term that it's essentially useless. No wonder someone like aofrantic mentions a Hollywood movie.

Greed has always been with us. Every single person who invests in stocks and bonds and buys a home is "greedy" all of a sudden because the housing market crashed? Come on. That's not a real answer. Maybe it's due to my financial background (pay attention, aofrantic) but I'm much more inclined to attribute it to the idiocy of the buyers, risk management failures, and government policies than simply blaming "greed". It's so generic that it's meaningless.
03-02-2017 , 10:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by goofyballer
Across the Country, a Republican Push to Rein In Protesters



Note the discrepancy between the words and actions of these lawmakers:



Combined with things like Trump's deputy assistant calling opposition to VOICE "un-American", the message from Republicans is clear: we're back to Bush-era rules of patriotism where protesting or opposing the president is unpatriotic and un-American. We had an 8 year break where it was okay to protest again, but the old rules are back now.
The problem is the regressive left don't know how to behave when they "protest". Therefore, it makes sense that laws need to be made to combat these "people".

Do you really support protesters who block the road? I don't feel sorry one bit for those whom have been run over.

These laws are necessary or else common citizens will have to take matters into their own hands to combat this nonsense.
03-02-2017 , 11:46 PM
i don't even


Quote:
Originally Posted by mongidig
The problem is the regressive left don't know how to behave when they "protest". Therefore, it makes sense that laws need to be made to combat these "people".

Do you really support protesters who block the road? I don't feel sorry one bit for those whom have been run over.

These laws are necessary or else common citizens will have to take matters into their own hands to combat this nonsense.
03-03-2017 , 12:06 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mongidig
The problem is the regressive left don't know how to behave when they "protest". Therefore, it makes sense that laws need to be made to combat these "people".
lol mongo

      
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