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President Trump President Trump

02-19-2017 , 08:19 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Gabby Hayes
It's starting to feel like more and more that it's just one army of billionaires(the liberals) vs the other army of billionaires. And the liberal side is getting there ass kicked currently after being in so much power the last number of decades by indoctrinating through the media, Hollywood, and urban American culture. The other side finally realized the Internet was a huge opportunity they could use and get people behind their cause and control because it gave the MSM less control. The tactic was brilliant and worked. The crazy thing is that the other side is still winning even though most of the major tech and liberal billionaires own a lot of the Internet. They are just getting outsmarted in sociology by the other side.

I know, sounds really conspiracy theory crazy, but it's plausible.
I disagree with this sentiment. The "right" didn't tap into anything, they got wildly lucky. The "left" over-reached and the response to that was the alt-right. Things got weird and they started bringing up things that made others respond, who would have preferred not doing anything since they were fine with the status quo.

The leftist political class made our decisions for us throughout the Western world. They pictured a world without borders and free movement of wildly different cultures moving where they wish. They forgot the people actually have to agree with them, and the people have spoken, rejecting that sentiment.

I'm afraid we are moving towards war. If that happens, you can blame it all on video games.
02-19-2017 , 02:48 PM
Classic wil ...

The alt-right was always there. The left didn't create soulless racists. Ignorance did.
02-19-2017 , 03:10 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JiggsCasey
Classic wil ...

The alt-right was always there. The left didn't create soulless racists. Ignorance did.
I think you should look up the history of them and report back. Please support your argument.
02-19-2017 , 03:19 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by adios
So you would prefer to put someone in office that would actually have the power to be like totally committed to turning back the clock on Roe v. Wade and have the power to do so. Also someone who is committed to derailing the environmentalist agenda to someone whose temperament you don't like and in your view is lacking in character. In short a committed man to the conservative agenda with the power to move it forward in a big way and let's be real here, a man that the Republicans in Congress probably prefer. That to me is incredible. To me that is based on emotions a lot more and much less about political outcomes. If your position is that TRUMP is a threat to start dropping nukes indiscriminately fine, that seems irrational to me but to each his own. Btw I prefer Pence too albeit for different reasons than you do.
No. This is the same wrong attitude Republicans have been pushing for years about Democrats. I do not see the Republican Party as the enemy. I disagree with them on many issues, but ultimately we are on the same team, or at least we were. They are going to have the presidency at least some of the time. When they do, I want a smart, knowledgeable, thoughtful man or woman to be the Republican President. For instance, Mitt Romney would be fine. I disagree with him, but I don't think he is irresponsible. Mike Pence is probably also acceptable (although much worse than Romney). Trump is not. He demonstrated throughout the campaign that he is ignorant of government and foreign affairs, that he was extremely thin-skinned and arrogant, and that he has little interest in protecting the Constitution or America's traditional values.

As for Roe v Wade, environmentalism, etc. I don't really know what Trump's domestic priorities will end up being. No doubt I'll disagree with many of them, just as I would with Pence's. However, in general a President's greatest personal impact is on foreign policy. Trump's conception of America's national interest ignores the value of its alliance system, the utility of international agreements, and the importance of American soft power and overestimates the danger of terrorism and Islamism. Furthermore, Trump is an ignorant fool who regularly eschews his intelligence and State Dept. briefings when speaking with foreign leaders and has appointed incompetent and unqualified advisors to key foreign policy positions. There is a reason that nearly every single foreign policy writer, even the Republican ones, were so strongly opposed to Trump during the election. Being President is not just about left/right ideology.
02-19-2017 , 03:37 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by adios
To me that is based on emotions a lot more and much less about political outcomes.
Ignoring all the other strawmen adios has constructed, I think bobman eloquently pointed out in Alpha the problem with this kind of narrow policy focus when examining Trump and Pence:

Quote:
Originally Posted by bobman0330
It's also important to remember that politics is not a zero-sum game. Even if it allows you to punish "the other side" on partisan issues, electing a president who can't conduct a routine call with a close ally or who wants to turn NATO into the Delian League has huge costs for both sides. Hardcore History just did a very timely podcast on nuclear confrontations, and one of the points he made is that, from the perspective of a visitor from Mars, every U.S. president should be elected solely on the basis of their ability to prevent a world-ending nuclear war, and that all other political issues are insignificant compared to that. In thirty years, no one will care what the tax rate was under the Trump administration, but they will care a whole hell of a lot if there is a limited nuclear exchange with China, and they won't exist if there is an all-out war with Russia.

It recently struck me why some people believe the clearly indefensible statement that Pence would be worse than Trump, and it's relevant to this discussion. It's because Pence likely would be worse on some issues (LGBT rights, church/state, abortion), and people thereby infer that Pence would be a worse president for people who are particularly affected by those things. That's a classic cognitive error. A gay man can be seriously harmed by LGBT discrimination in a way that a straight person can't, but the harm from a war with China is much greater to both of them. Likewise, the fact that a Breitbart/Trump strategy might advance the ball on GOP-coded issues (if they can get their **** together) doesn't mean it's better for GOP voters, because it comes at a cost on formerly nonpartisan issues, like whether it's good or bad for the government to kill protesters and journalists.
02-19-2017 , 03:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Original Position
However, in general a President's greatest personal impact is on foreign policy. Trump's conception of America's national interest ignores the value of its alliance system, the utility of international agreements, and the importance of American soft power and overestimates the danger of terrorism and Islamism. Furthermore, Trump is an ignorant fool who regularly eschews his intelligence and State Dept. briefings when speaking with foreign leaders and has appointed incompetent and unqualified advisors to key foreign policy positions. There is a reason that nearly every single foreign policy writer, even the Republican ones, were so strongly opposed to Trump during the election. Being President is not just about left/right ideology.
Disagree with this entirely. What you are not recognizing here is that we have a true chance of something different with Trump. Whether a Democrat or a Republican won the White House, we were getting more of the same. Never ending war, irresponsible economics, and the continued gutting of the middle class.

Trump won because people are tired of it. No matter what we choose, we are getting the same package, just with a different ribbon. Clinton would have continued our fighting in the middle east and could have possibly escalated things with Russia. Her talking about a no-fly zone over Syria would have been disastrous.

The average American just doesn't know the intricacies of middle eastern politics, how much power the Iranians and the Saudis have, why they are different both religiously and racially, and why they despise each other. The power vacuum from the Iraq disaster made Iran stronger. Our continued meddling in their regional politics makes us unsafe. With the immigration of so many Middle Easterners into the Western countries, we have new issues to deal with.

We truly get something different with Trump. Could it turn out disastrous? Yes. But you can't knock people for actually taking a chance for trying something different. Bush? War. Obama? War. Clinton? War.

If you want to blame someone, blame the establishment politicians for all being the same scumbags running under different flags.
02-19-2017 , 04:05 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wil318466
We truly get something different with Trump. Could it turn out disastrous? Yes. But you can't knock people for actually taking a chance for trying something different. Bush? War. Obama? War. Clinton? War.
That sound like an awesome idea. Should be used in many more cases.

Like... I'm stuck at red lights on my way to work for half an hour every day. Sucks.
Take my motorcycle? Red Lights. Take another route? Red lights. Go by bus? Red lights.

But I could also just ignore the red lights all together and just keep my foot on the gas.

Could it turn out disastrous? Yes. But you can't knock people for actually taking a chance for trying something different.



It's just obvious what's gonna happen.
And if you are someone with half a brain and take a look at Trump you know what's gonna happen...
02-19-2017 , 04:11 PM
While the Trumpkins ITT have been pretty silent about the whole "Trump taking a dump on a free and legitimate press in the USA" thing, Chris Wallace of Fox News isn't taking that **** sitting down like you all are:

Wallace slams Trump's comments in interview with Reince Priebus on Fox News Sunday

Quote:
"Here's the problem, when the president says — that we're the enemy of the American people, it makes it sound like if you're going against him, you're going against the country," Wallace said.

"Some of these things were covered," Priebus responded. "But you get about 10 percent coverage on the fact that you had a very successful meeting with [Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin] Netanyahu, the prime minister of the U.K., the prime minister of Canada ... but then as soon as it was over, the next 20 hours is all about Russian spies," Priebus said.

"But you don't get to tell us what to do, Reince," Wallace shot back. "You don't get to tell us what to do any more than Barack Obama did."

He added that former President Obama "whined" about Fox News, but he never said the media was an enemy of the people.

"He never went as far as President Trump has, and that's what's concerning, because it seems like he crosses a line when he talks about, that we're an enemy of the people," Wallace said.
Fox News anchors comparing Obama favorably to Trump, LOL the fine-tuned machine administration
02-19-2017 , 04:12 PM
I don't trust any trump and/or republican/conservative opinion about emotions at this point in time for good sense and reason. Except on a case-by-case basis with extreme vetting. Following weak narratives of those varieties has gotten folks in deep IMO.
02-19-2017 , 04:12 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BooLoo
That sound like an awesome idea. Should be used in many more cases.

Like... I'm stuck at red lights on my way to work for half an hour every day. Sucks.
Take my motorcycle? Red Lights. Take another route? Red lights. Go by bus? Red lights.

But I could also just ignore the red lights all together and just keep my foot on the gas.

Could it turn out disastrous? Yes. But you can't knock people for actually taking a chance for trying something different.
Point taken. But when all you get is stuff you don't want and your livliehood and the ability to take care of your family is diminished, I can understand the frustration.

So many people feel lost, like everything is against them. Those of us with college educations and good jobs DGAF, I mean, I've profited greatly. Anyone who has had a 401k in the last 8 years has done great. 50% of the American public isn't invested in the stock market at all. What did they get except higher education costs that they couldn't pay a decade ago, much less today?

This is what happens when people become detached to the regular working guy. Don't blame them for it, I'd have done the same thing if I was in their shoes. The well off do great, everyone else gets the middle finger. It's not right, and this is the result.
02-19-2017 , 04:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BooLoo
That sound like an awesome idea. Should be used in many more cases.

Like... I'm stuck at red lights on my way to work for half an hour every day. Sucks.
Take my motorcycle? Red Lights. Take another route? Red lights. Go by bus? Red lights.

But I could also just ignore the red lights all together and just keep my foot on the gas.

Could it turn out disastrous? Yes. But you can't knock people for actually taking a chance for trying something different.



It's just obvious what's gonna happen.
And if you are someone with half a brain and take a look at Trump you know what's gonna happen...
There's the problem.
02-19-2017 , 05:13 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wil318466
Disagree with this entirely. What you are not recognizing here is that we have a true chance of something different with Trump. Whether a Democrat or a Republican won the White House, we were getting more of the same. Never ending war, irresponsible economics, and the continued gutting of the middle class.
I do recognize this. More of the same would have meant more of the same policies that have contributed since WWII to one of the most peaceful and prosperous eras in world history. America has obviously made some huge mistakes over that period, but the overall results are positive. Giving responsibility for that largely successful system to a group of radicals opposed to it seems like a pretty horrible own-goal.

Quote:
Trump won because people are tired of it. No matter what we choose, we are getting the same package, just with a different ribbon. Clinton would have continued our fighting in the middle east and could have possibly escalated things with Russia. Her talking about a no-fly zone over Syria would have been disastrous.

The average American just doesn't know the intricacies of middle eastern politics, how much power the Iranians and the Saudis have, why they are different both religiously and racially, and why they despise each other. The power vacuum from the Iraq disaster made Iran stronger. Our continued meddling in their regional politics makes us unsafe. With the immigration of so many Middle Easterners into the Western countries, we have new issues to deal with.

We truly get something different with Trump. Could it turn out disastrous? Yes. But you can't knock people for actually taking a chance for trying something different. Bush? War. Obama? War. Clinton? War.

If you want to blame someone, blame the establishment politicians for all being the same scumbags running under different flags.
I'm not talking about Trump voters, but Trump himself. Donald Trump is not himself fit for office, regardless of his opinions of the world. As you say, foreign policy is complicated and I don't really expect most voters to understand it. But I do expect Trump to understand it. For instance, how can he not be familiar with the New START treaty with Russia? Isn't a closer relationship with Russia one of his biggest foreign policy objectives?
02-19-2017 , 06:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bahbahmickey
Increasing minimum wage doesn't just hurt all the people that lose their job. It hurts everyone not getting the pay raise. The cost of a huge majority (almost all) of products and services will go up.
this makes no sense at all.

if other ppl are picking up the tab, then why would the company need to eliminate those jobs? or vice versa ya kno.
02-19-2017 , 07:00 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by adios
Do you want TRUMP to resign?
no. trump > pence. both will fulfill the evil conservative agenda. but trump is less competent, more outrageous, and will compel more ppl to embrace progressive ideas.

the only worry is that he ends ends democracy and makes it illegal to be a dem. I guess I will take that risk.
02-19-2017 , 07:24 PM
Incredible.

See, you can tell when they have to independently formulate something original. He has 2 paragraphs of what I'd bet is pretty much Breitbart copy and pasting, but then decides to wrap it up with a dynamite conclusion using a knock-it-out-the-park analogy, and, wow. The 1st 2 paragraphs state the videos-games-did-it premise concerning what the 'left' caused.

Incredible.


Quote:
Originally Posted by wil318466
I disagree with this sentiment. The "right" didn't tap into anything, they got wildly lucky. The "left" over-reached and the response to that was the alt-right. Things got weird and they started bringing up things that made others respond, who would have preferred not doing anything since they were fine with the status quo.

The leftist political class made our decisions for us throughout the Western world. They pictured a world without borders and free movement of wildly different cultures moving where they wish. They forgot the people actually have to agree with them, and the people have spoken, rejecting that sentiment.

I'm afraid we are moving towards war. If that happens, you can blame it all on video games.
02-19-2017 , 08:42 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mongidig
Trump is only unpopular with the unpolished segment of society. The rest of us are very much enjoying this victory. If a cockroach doesn't like my President why should I care? They will eventually be stomped out of exstence.
The unpolished! So lovely that someone who has the respect of no one on any side of any political discussion would be looking down on the more than the almost 60% of americans who disapprove of him.

In the GE exit polls showed an even split of support with earners > 250k, and a 1.5:1 democratic lean for people with post graduate education. I would guess that the quality that most consistently correlated with high income/education/ would be lack of enthusiasm for either.

Will be interesting if/when polls start coming up that paint a picture of the demographics of people who approve/disapprove.
02-19-2017 , 10:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wil318466
I think you should look up the history of them and report back. Please support your argument.
LOL... That's like saying Xe didn't ever shoot up a busy Baghdad intersection full of civilians because Blackwater did it.

I'm obviously talking about the trollish, racist segment of the right wing in the digital age, no matter what label you slap on their subdivisions.
02-20-2017 , 01:46 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Victor
this makes no sense at all.

if other ppl are picking up the tab, then why would the company need to eliminate those jobs? or vice versa ya kno.
Quote:
The argument against increasing the minimum wage often relies on what I call “economism”—the misleading application of basic lessons from Economics 101 to real-world problems, creating the illusion of consensus and reducing a complex topic to a simple, open-and-shut case. According to economism, a pair of supply and demand curves proves that a minimum wage increases unemployment and hurts exactly the low-wage workers it is supposed to help. The argument goes like this: Low-skilled labor is bought and sold in a market, just like any good or service, and its price should be set by supply and demand. A minimum wage, however, upsets this happy equilibrium because it sets a price floor in the market for labor. If it is below the natural wage rate, then nothing changes. But if the minimum (say, $7.25 an hour) is above the natural wage (say, $6 per hour), it distorts the market. More people want jobs at $7.25 than at $6, but companies want to hire fewer employees. The result: more unemployment. The people who are still employed are better off, because they are being paid more for the same work; their gain is exactly balanced by their employers’ loss. But society as a whole is worse off, as transactions that would have benefited both buyers and suppliers of labor will not occur because of the minimum wage
https://www.theatlantic.com/business...utm_source=twb
02-20-2017 , 07:18 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Huehuecoyotl
The two main goals of minimum wage is for the state to lend protection to citizens against exploitation and to try and guarantee worker income to a level that enables a basic existence. It also to a certain extent suppresses business from performing wage syndication.

High-egality countries like Sweden, Norway and Denmark doesn't even have legislated minimum wage, what they have instead is a requirement for employer organizations and employee organizations to work out functional tariffs - with the state as final arbiter if negotiations break down.

That is an excellent solution to avoid static wage solutions that could be harmful is the economy takes a dive. But it only works in countries which doesn't actively try to oppress worker organization. The US has a long history of this, the trends hardening especially under the laissez-faire trio (Harding, Coolidge, Hoover) in the 20s, and being picked again under and after the trickle-down craze. That essentially leaves only direct legislation as a functional means of worker protection.

Or to put it in simpler terms; the argument you are quoting only applies to a system where we can expect only good faith or where we ignore a lot of relevant variables and put every goal of a business under the "supply / demand" umbrella. The former is naive and the latter is simplified to the point of error.

Last edited by tame_deuces; 02-20-2017 at 07:27 AM.
02-20-2017 , 11:08 AM
Pretty bad article, Hue.

The author builds a huge case against his argument that MW increases unemployment - citing the basic law of supply and demand and 10+ economists that support this idea and then he never really does anything to convince the reader that these economists are wrong. He just hand waves one of the most basic laws of economics by giving all the basic laws of economics a cute little nickname and leaves the reader to assume S&P applies to every product and service but labor.

Also, like most pro-minimum wagers he completely ignores the fact that nearly everyone not getting a raise due to the price fixing is worse off.
02-20-2017 , 11:10 AM
Chez, can you excise this minimum wage crap into it's own thread?
02-20-2017 , 11:11 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by tame_deuces
The two main goals of minimum wage is for the state to lend protection to citizens against exploitation and to try and guarantee worker income to a level that enables a basic existence. It also to a certain extent suppresses business from performing wage syndication.

High-egality countries like Sweden, Norway and Denmark doesn't even have legislated minimum wage, what they have instead is a requirement for employer organizations and employee organizations to work out functional tariffs - with the state as final arbiter if negotiations break down.

That is an excellent solution to avoid static wage solutions that could be harmful is the economy takes a dive. But it only works in countries which doesn't actively try to oppress worker organization. The US has a long history of this, the trends hardening especially under the laissez-faire trio (Harding, Coolidge, Hoover) in the 20s, and being picked again under and after the trickle-down craze. That essentially leaves only direct legislation as a functional means of worker protection.

Or to put it in simpler terms; the argument you are quoting only applies to a system where we can expect only good faith or where we ignore a lot of relevant variables and put every goal of a business under the "supply / demand" umbrella. The former is naive and the latter is simplified to the point of error.
The 2 main goals of MW are 1) to create a group of people dependent on the federal government (via welfare, etc) and 2) to get people who don't understand economics to vote Dem so they can feel like they are helping people.
02-20-2017 , 02:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bahbahmickey
Pretty bad article, Hue.

The author builds a huge case against his argument that MW increases unemployment - citing the basic law of supply and demand and 10+ economists that support this idea and then he never really does anything to convince the reader that these economists are wrong. He just hand waves one of the most basic laws of economics by giving all the basic laws of economics a cute little nickname and leaves the reader to assume S&P applies to every product and service but labor.

Also, like most pro-minimum wagers he completely ignores the fact that nearly everyone not getting a raise due to the price fixing is worse off.
The article wasn't advocating FOR a raise of minimal wage, it was talking about how Econ 101ists cite an "fundamental law" that's completely abstracted out of the real word as an immutable law of what's going to happen. That there's evidence that it doesn't happen in certain situations in the actual real world should have made you pause to think, just as if someone told you planes can't fly because gravity pulls everything down and it's a fundamental law of the universe and you look outside and see a plane flying would make you pause to think, but it didn't and I didn't expect it to.

Quote:
Also, like most pro-minimum wagers he completely ignores the fact that nearly everyone not getting a raise due to the price fixing is worse off.
Quote:
Even if a higher minimum wage does cause some people to lose their jobs, that cost has to be balanced against the benefit of greater earnings for other low-income workers. A study by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimated that a $10.10 minimum would reduce employment by 500,000 jobs but would increase incomes for most poor families, moving 900,000 people above the poverty line. Similarly, a recent paper by the economist Arindrajit Dube finds that a 10 percent raise in the minimum wage should reduce the number of families living in poverty by around 2 percent to 3 percent. The economists polled in the 2013 Chicago Booth study thought that increasing the minimum wage would be a good idea because its potential impact on employment would be outweighed by the benefits to people who were still able to find jobs. Raising the minimum wage would also reduce inequality by narrowing the pay gap between low-income and higher-income workers.

In short, whether the minimum wage should be increased (or eliminated) is a complicated question.
How do I know you either didn't read or didn't comprehend the article?

Last edited by Huehuecoyotl; 02-20-2017 at 02:56 PM.
02-20-2017 , 02:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bahbahmickey
The 2 main goals of MW are 1) to create a group of people dependent on the federal government (via welfare, etc) and 2) to get people who don't understand economics to vote Dem so they can feel like they are helping people.
We're all dependent on the federal government. You more than anyone else.
02-20-2017 , 03:05 PM
Trump can't even get his own Secretary of Defense on board the "Take Their Oil" plan. Sad!

Quote:
Defense Secretary Jim Mattis arrived in Baghdad on Monday, promising that, despite what President Trump said last month, the administration would not try to seize Iraq’s oil.
Bonus detail to watch for in the new executive order, Mattis says the US will take refugees who helped our military:

Quote:
“I have not seen the new executive order,” Mr. Mattis said on Sunday. “But right now, I’m assured that we will take steps to allow those who have fought alongside us to be allowed into the United States.”
In this historically incompetent administration, it's totally plausible that Trump's like "butnahhhhh" and denies them anyway.

      
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