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President Trump President Trump

07-06-2017 , 09:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TiltedDonkey
1. Trump clearly cares.

2. The popular vote is what national polls predict. They are only a predictor of the EC winner in the sense that the EC winner is heavily correlated with the popular vote winner.

3. Calling something "the silent majority" implies that they are, you know, a majority and not a minority which is optimally distributed geographically.
They do polling at the state level. Am I missing something? I truly mean that, please explain.

Quote:
Originally Posted by goofyballer
Even that isn't true dumbass, Trump got under 50% in seven (!!!) of the states he carried. Do you know the difference between a majority and a plurality?

Jesus christ it's like talking to ****ing kindergarteners with these idiots
Atlanta won the Superbowl, y'all.
07-06-2017 , 09:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Black Peter
I'm in Denmark watching the news about Hamburg. I gotta ask... Why are the police water cannoning innocent protesters who are committing no crime, and actually just sitting peacefully on the sidewalks? I thought the Germans were liberals who valued democracy and peaceful protest? Are the Panzers on the move again?
The police action initially targeted the black bloc. So far I haven't seen any good reason why the police needed to intervene at that point in time.
Previously there were some burning cars and smashed windows but as far as I can tell not at that place or time.
07-06-2017 , 09:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by spanktehbadwookie
Cite. And why smile?- if you had evidence of that it wouldn't be happy news for any patriot for election integrity. Or do you think it is a big joke?
Clinton supporters have absolutely no problem with it. In fact, they call you racist if you're on the side that wants to end/mitigate/prevent illegal immigration.
07-06-2017 , 09:51 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by goofyballer
Yes, I do.

It's really weird to me that people who make the argument Trump is smart do so not by pointing to evidence that he is smart, just by suggesting that nobody could accomplish what he has if they weren't smart.

That's an interesting theory, but it's by no means self-evident, and it lies in contradiction to any audio recording from the last few years of Trump talking about something. Every single time, he sounds like an idiot who doesn't understand what he's talking about. Maybe he used to be smart and he's senile now, idk, but what's your explanation for this, that it's all an act and he's brilliantly managed to ever avoid sounding intelligent for years on end?

Contrary to your claim that it's "not based in reality" to think he's unintelligent, it's based on the very real source of his own words!
At this point, what could Trump do or accomplish that would have you publicly admit admiration or paise for him?

This constant spew of the popular vote (which doesn't matter) and that Trump is stupid (which he clearly is not) just seems petty and bitter.

You are literally pulling out arguments from 2 years ago. He's beaten you at every turn, after how many of your sides false predictions? The entire forum lost money on him. People have been permabanned due to him.

You're wrong, dude, you're simply flat out wrong. He did really win the Republican nomination. He did really win the presidency. He did really beat all of your predictions and he really has people loyal to him.

You sound like the guy at the bar who's favorite team is getting their asses beat on TV screaming that the refs are calling the game in the other teams favor. It's not just silly, it's downright embarrassing.
07-06-2017 , 09:53 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by formula72
What's the approximate number here?
http://www.investors.com/politics/ed...-vote-in-2016/

http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/...-from-nonciti/

http://www.worldtribune.com/report-e...ng-to-clinton/

Most sources are saying ~800000. Strangely enough, 53% of Democratic party are for illegal immigrants being able to vote, despite the fact it is illegal. I wonder why....
07-06-2017 , 09:53 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wil318466
Atlanta won the Superbowl, y'all.
wil,

I recognize that understanding simple conversations is very difficult for people as stupid as you, but the appropriate analogy here is not liberals saying "Atlanta won the Super Bowl". Conservatives are saying "New England had fewer turnovers" and liberals are saying "no, they didn't", and for some reason conservatives are the ones that brought up this dumb tangent and really wanted to talk about it.
07-06-2017 , 09:53 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DoOrDoNot
Clinton supporters have absolutely no problem with it. In fact, they call you racist if you're on the side that wants to end/mitigate/prevent illegal immigration.
So your offer opinion and further accusations. That is what you have to support the initial post concerning 'illegal voters' but not anything like evidence.
07-06-2017 , 09:56 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by goofyballer
wil,

I recognize that understanding simple conversations is very difficult for people as stupid as you, but the appropriate analogy here is not liberals saying "Atlanta won the Super Bowl". Conservatives are saying "New England had fewer turnovers" and liberals are saying "no, they didn't", and for some reason conservatives are the ones that brought up this dumb tangent and really wanted to talk about it.
Go Falcons!

07-06-2017 , 09:57 PM
An interesting map of the demographics that voted in 2016. Not surprising to me.
http://imgur.com/a/deait
07-06-2017 , 10:00 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DoOrDoNot
An interesting map of the demographics that voted in 2016. Not surprising to me.


<broken image link removed>
It's fascinating to me that it's always the conservative posters on this forum that have the greatest difficulties with technology
07-06-2017 , 10:01 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by goofyballer
It's fascinating to me that it's always the conservative posters on this forum that have the greatest difficulties with technology
You're an idiot.
07-06-2017 , 10:01 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wil318466
At this point, what could Trump do or accomplish that would have you publicly admit admiration or paise for him?
If Trump really wanted to shake things up, divide the left, still keep most of the right and probably win in 2020 he'd raise taxes on the wealthy (as he promised) and push for Medicare for all. But he won't because first and foremost, even more than a fascist, he's a grifter.
07-06-2017 , 10:03 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DoOrDoNot
You're an idiot.
The fact that I know how to copy an image link and you don't speaks volumes. You mad, bro?
07-06-2017 , 10:03 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BitchiBee
its clearly self evident, stupid people don't accomplish great things like Trump has done

maybe you should take off your blinders and actually listen to what trump has to say.
He says all kind of dumb things so that's not going to work. Any other ideas?
07-06-2017 , 10:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by goofyballer
It's fascinating to me that it's always the conservative posters on this forum that have the greatest difficulties with technology
Like the liberal Excel models that had Clinton at 120%?
07-06-2017 , 10:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by microbet
If Trump really wanted to shake things up, divide the left, still keep most of the right and probably win in 2020 he'd raise taxes on the wealthy (as he promised) and push for Medicare for all. But he won't because first and foremost, even more than a fascist, he's a grifter.
He doesn't need to divide the left. The left is divided. And toxic.

He's already preparing for 2020. I think it's actually going to get worse. He's going to replace Ginsberg and Kennedy, and the midterms are in no way a lock.

This is just the beginning, not the end.
07-06-2017 , 10:10 PM
Actually, it's only one source. All three of these articles are referring to one particular 2014 study on non-citizens voting, which is an analysis of data collected via the CCES.

However, there is a subtle but important flaw in that study, which is explained very thoroughly in this article. Here are the cliffs notes:

Quote:
Noncitizens who vote represent a tiny subpopulation of both noncitizens in general and of the larger community of American voters. Studying them means zeroing in on a very small percentage of a much larger sample. That massive imbalance in sample size makes it easier for something called measurement error to contaminate the data. Measurement error is simple: It’s what happens when people answer a survey or a poll incorrectly.1 If you’ve ever checked the wrong box on a form, you know how easy it can be to screw this stuff up. Scientists are certainly aware this happens. And they know that, most of the time, those errors aren’t big enough to have much impact on the outcome of a study. But what constitutes “big enough” will change when you’re focusing on a small segment of a bigger group. Suddenly, a few wrongly placed check marks that would otherwise be no big deal can matter a lot.
In other words, the data this study relies on is self-reported voting, from a large survey. Because people make mistakes filling out surveys, you have to account for measurement error. When dealing with a very small sub-population within a larger population, the impact of even a 1% measurement error can be enormous. The 538 article provides a helpful interactive feature that allows you to see how this works. The entire 538 article is worth a read if you're at all interested in research methodology.

It is almost certainly the case that some number of non-citizens successfully vote. It's unlikely they all vote for one candidate, of course. The methodology used by this particular study is almost certainly not a reliable way to estimate the number.
07-06-2017 , 10:13 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by well named
It is almost certainly the case that some number of non-citizens successfully vote. It's unlikely they all vote for one candidate, of course. The methodology used by this particular study is almost certainly not a reliable way to estimate the number.
Just to be clear, are you suggesting that if an illegal immigrant actually did manage to cast a vote, it doesn't necessarily mean they voted for Clinton?
07-06-2017 , 10:16 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wil318466
Just to be clear, are you suggesting that if an illegal immigrant actually did manage to cast a vote, it doesn't necessarily mean they voted for Clinton?
Just to be clear, are you suggesting that if an illegal immigrant actually did manage to cast a vote, they absolutely 100% voted for Hillary Clinton?
07-06-2017 , 10:18 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wil318466
Just to be clear, are you suggesting that if an illegal immigrant actually did manage to cast a vote, it doesn't necessarily mean they voted for Clinton?
Yes. If you read the 2014 study that DoOrDoNot cited, you'll find that they talk about the fact that some non-citizens who try to register to vote or vote do so because they don't even know they aren't allowed. In other words, they aren't even necessarily trying to commit fraud. There's no reason to believe that 100% of whatever number of non-citizens attempt to vote or succeed are all voting for one candidate. Just like every other demographic, they can have fairly diverse views. It doesn't work that well to try to extrapolate too far from some of Trump's anti-immigrant rhetoric to voting patterns. For example, Trump did better than Romney among Hispanics.
07-06-2017 , 10:20 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by goofyballer
Just to be clear, are you suggesting that if an illegal immigrant actually did manage to cast a vote, they absolutely 100% voted for Hillary Clinton?
No, of course they voted for Jill Stein, LDO.

Are you ****ing high? If you're high I'll give you a pass here, we can revisit this tomorrow. Really, it's ok.
07-06-2017 , 10:22 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wil318466
No, of course they voted for Jill Stein, LDO.

Are you ****ing high?
LOOOOOOOOOLWIL
07-06-2017 , 10:28 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by well named
Yes. If you read the 2014 study that DoOrDoNot cited, you'll find that they talk about the fact that some non-citizens who try to register to vote or vote do so because they don't even know they aren't allowed. In other words, they aren't even necessarily trying to commit fraud. There's no reason to believe that 100% of whatever number of non-citizens attempt to vote or succeed are all voting for one candidate. Just like every other demographic, they can have fairly diverse views. It doesn't work that well to try to extrapolate too far from some of Trump's anti-immigrant rhetoric to voting patterns. For example, Trump did better than Romney among Hispanics.
This is a real stretch of the imagination dude. Like, I can POSSIBLY see you making an argument that of the people who voted illegally unknowingly, it's possible Trump got, 20% of them. Maybe possibly I could see that argument. But of the people who knowingly voted who were aware of their illegal status? Absolutely not.

If you're an illegal and one candidate is for open borders and the other is talking about Mexican rapists (portrayed in media) and speaks about deporting people, I don't see how a rational person can think that person would consider the deporter. Because he thinks that candidate would give him a tax cut that'll help him at 6 bucks an hour under the table?

I'm almost speechless.
07-06-2017 , 10:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by goofyballer
LOOOOOOOOOLWIL
I'll leave it to the judgment of the forum. What you are suggesting is patently absurd, and I'm confident people will see how bad your suggestion is.

I really can't believe we are discussing this.
07-06-2017 , 10:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wil318466
Just to be clear, are you suggesting that if an illegal immigrant actually did manage to cast a vote, it doesn't necessarily mean they voted for Clinton?
Quote:
Originally Posted by wil318466
Like, I can POSSIBLY see you making an argument that of the people who voted illegally unknowingly, it's possible Trump got, 20% of them. Maybe possibly I could see that argument. But of the people who knowingly voted who were aware of their illegal status?
THE GOALPOSTS, THEY R A SHIFTIN'

WILLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL

      
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