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President Trump President Trump

03-09-2017 , 10:52 PM

It's not just that, it puts him at odds with the data. I'm taking an Environmental Biology class, and we were lectured on this exact topic today and two days ago.

Quote:
Our climate modeling simulation should be viewed as an experiment in atmospheric physics, illustrating a cause and effect problem which allowed us to gain a better understanding of the working mechanics of Earth’s greenhouse effect, and enabled us to demonstrate the direct relationship that exists between rising atmospheric carbon dioxide and rising global temperature," Lacis said.

The study ties in to the geologic record in which carbon dioxide levels have oscillated between approximately 180 parts per million during ice ages, and about 280 parts per million during warmer interglacial periods. To provide perspective to the nearly 1 C (1.8 F) increase in global temperature over the past century, it is estimated that the global mean temperature difference between the extremes of the ice age and interglacial periods is only about 5 C (9 F).

"When carbon dioxide increases, more water vapor returns to the atmosphere. This is what helped to melt the glaciers that once covered New York City," said co-author David Rind, of NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies. "Today we are in uncharted territory as carbon dioxide approaches 390 parts per million in what has been referred to as the 'superinterglacial.'"

"The bottom line is that atmospheric carbon dioxide acts as a thermostat in regulating the temperature of Earth," Lacis said. "The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has fully documented the fact that industrial activity is responsible for the rapidly increasing levels of atmospheric carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases. It is not surprising then that global warming can be linked directly to the observed increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide and to human industrial activity in general."
https://www.nasa.gov/topics/earth/fe...mperature.html
03-09-2017 , 10:55 PM
Unsurprisingly, Trump either is lying or is incompetent enough that he didn't know that his National Security Adviser was paying to play with a foreign entity.
Quote:
3/9/17, AP: "President Donald Trump was not aware that his former national security adviser, Michael Flynn, had worked to further the interests of the government of Turkey before appointing him, the White House said Thursday."

Here is a selection of published reports from November and December detailing Flynn's lobbying on behalf of Turkish interests before Flynn was appointed.

(lots of reports)
http://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/...ng-about-flynn
03-09-2017 , 11:38 PM
I love all the downturn predictions. Tax cuts, less of a push for higher MW, repealing Obamacare and less regulation is going to kill the economy and the stock market. Lol.

To answer the question about what trump has done to help the market: he has said the above things which is in stark contrast for another 4 years of Obama/Hillary slow growth.
03-09-2017 , 11:39 PM

https://twitter.com/DLin71/status/840043055864532993
03-09-2017 , 11:40 PM
Quote:
I love all the downturn predictions. Tax cuts, less of a push for higher MW, repealing Obamacare and less regulation is going to kill the economy and the stock market. Lol.
Do you know where market demand comes from? It comes from people having money to spend. If people (working + middle class, who drive the majority of spending) don't have any money to spend, the economy can and will suffer.
03-09-2017 , 11:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bahbahmickey
I love all the downturn predictions. Tax cuts, less of a push for higher MW, repealing Obamacare and less regulation is going to kill the economy and the stock market. Lol.

To answer the question about what trump has done to help the market: he has said the above things which is in stark contrast for another 4 years of Obama/Hillary slow growth.


The S&P 500 has grown at about 7%/yr on average over its whole history. This is ultimately true under presidents of both parties, high tax and low tax environments, increased and decreased regulations. Eventually, this will revert to the mean, and it will be very painful for a lot of people.


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03-10-2017 , 12:08 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bahbahmickey
I love all the downturn predictions. Tax cuts, less of a push for higher MW, repealing Obamacare and less regulation is going to kill the economy and the stock market. Lol.
2001-2008: Republican president = tax cuts, higher MW, Obamacare doesn't exist yet, less regulation...and the bottom falls out of the market
2009-2016: Democrat president = higher taxes, more of a push for higher MW, Obamacare becomes law, more regulation...market finishes with record highs

You are so very, very bad at this game mickey
03-10-2017 , 12:59 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mongidig
Trump haters gonna hate hate hate hate hate hate!
Quote:
This forum requires that you wait 60 seconds between reporting posts. Please try again in 26 seconds.
I had no idea.
03-10-2017 , 01:27 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Huehuecoyotl
The only thing a President can do, pass legislature. But in reality Presidents, don't have much control over the economy.
They hav enough tools to create a lot of problems, but not so much to build a good economy all by themselves.
03-10-2017 , 01:34 AM
I'm glad for the sake of the Kurds that Flynn is out.
03-10-2017 , 01:46 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mongidig
Tens of Millions? Come on man!

Those who "lose" their insurance aren't even using it in the first place because they can't afford it. They basically have an insurance card that is worth less than a Zimbabwe dollar.
You are correct that any republican replacement for the ACA will leave many with virtually worthless coverage with real premiums. However this was never the case with the ACA as insurance plans had a long list of requisites they had to cover. The republicans are angling to remove everything that might be claimed while maintaining premium collections for the insurance industry.
03-10-2017 , 01:48 AM

https://twitter.com/JGreenDC/status/839951423945261056
03-10-2017 , 03:35 AM
Stealing from einbert's post in alpha:

Male Illinois rep asks why men should have to pay for prenatal coverage

LOL GOP
03-10-2017 , 09:57 AM
It's wierd that religious Conservatives don't ever put the pro family aspect of religion into actual legislative policy. Pagan and atheistic Sweden has better 'pro family' policies than the US. I guess the fusion of libertarian small government with the religious groups prevents them from doing that and just focus on hating gays or whatever.
03-10-2017 , 10:01 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Huehuecoyotl
The only thing a President can do, pass legislature. But in reality Presidents, don't have much control over the economy.


They could certainly promote tax cuts, deregulation and things like that to create a boom. The problem lies in the inevitable bust. My belief is that due to bond rates increasing due to uncertainty, investors are moving money out of the bond market and into securities. Stock prices are set by supply and demand, so the more money in the ecosystem looking for a place to go, the higher demand, and higher prices. Once it's realized that the underlying assets don't in fact have the valuation they're getting, I predict a pretty significant contraction.


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03-10-2017 , 10:17 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by StevenPoke
You have an obsession with twitter, you need help.
This is actually an on-topic post when directed at the thread title.
03-10-2017 , 12:46 PM
Cross-posted from the other forum:

Getting back to this for a second, here is why RepubliCare would be a complete disaster. Ignore for a second the fact that 15 million will lose their insurance. By scaling Medicaid back to pre-ACA levels, significantly cutting subsidies by making them tax cuts and also by making them age-adjusted rather than income-adjusted, and other changes that could potentially cause insurerers to continue to flee the market or even do so more, one of the few actual problems with ACA. Policies will be more expensive and less durable (less solid benefit to consumers especially if a health disaster happens) and healthy people will drop out of the market. The 30% surcharge if you lack continuous coverage will also cause people that are currently uninsured to stay out of the market unless they have a very good reason to get insurance--unless they are already sick or get sick in a bad way.

This will lead to higher premiums as the risk pools get thrown off. The higher premiums will lead to another round of clients dropping out of the market as their costs go up--but remember, the really sick clients are not dropping out. It's the healthy ones. So the premiums get jacked up again to cover those extra costs. Before you know it, insurance premiums are much more expensive than they were under ACA. With the many minimum standards for coverage removed in favor of a more free market stance, consumers will stay away from health insurance if they don't really need it as they don't want to get scammed into buying a bad plan with high premiums and little coverage. Stories will start going around quickly. Emergency rooms and unpaid hospital bills will become a much bigger burden on the system, similar to pre-ACA but even worse. This in turn will jack up premiums again (somebody has to pay for that), and well, death spiral.
03-10-2017 , 01:14 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Huehuecoyotl
It's wierd that religious Conservatives don't ever put the pro family aspect of religion into actual legislative policy. Pagan and atheistic Sweden has better 'pro family' policies than the US. I guess the fusion of libertarian small government with the religious groups prevents them from doing that and just focus on hating gays or whatever.
They read as far as 'my cup runneth over' and blew their loads.
03-10-2017 , 01:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mongidig
100,000 more jobs created last month than expected.
From what I'm reading about the jobs report today this seems like fake news
03-10-2017 , 01:17 PM
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Originally Posted by einbert
Do you know where market demand comes from? It comes from people having money to spend. If people (working + middle class, who drive the majority of spending) don't have any money to spend, the economy can and will suffer.
Why do you think the middle class will have less money to spend under Trump?

Quote:
Originally Posted by goofyballer
2001-2008: Republican president = tax cuts, higher MW, Obamacare doesn't exist yet, less regulation...and the bottom falls out of the market
2009-2016: Democrat president = higher taxes, more of a push for higher MW, Obamacare becomes law, more regulation...market finishes with record highs

You are so very, very bad at this game mickey
Writing "lolsamplesize" should do enough to let you know how terrible your post is, but I am going to add to it.

Insinuating the bottom falling out of the market on one president (especially in this case when clinton had more to do w/ 2008 than Bush did) is ignorant.

Also, "higher taxes, more of a push for higher MW, Obamacare becomes law, more regulation" under obama led to the slowest economic recovery the USA has ever had in its history... EVER.
03-10-2017 , 01:22 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by goofyballer
Stealing from einbert's post in alpha:

Male Illinois rep asks why men should have to pay for prenatal coverage

LOL GOP
Yeah!!!! This guy is a big sexist!!!!!

Why shouldn't men have to subsidize women's pregnancy and overall higher costs for health insurance since they play a roll in getting them pregnant in the same way women subsidize men's higher car insurance premiums because they tend to drive more (often times driving their female SO around)? If you disagree that we should all pay the same for insurance regardless of sex you are a big fat sexist man.
03-10-2017 , 01:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bahbahmickey
Yeah!!!! This guy is a big sexist!!!!!

Why shouldn't men have to subsidize women's pregnancy and overall higher costs for health insurance since they play a roll in getting them pregnant in the same way women subsidize men's higher car insurance premiums because they tend to drive more (often times driving their female SO around)?
Women subsidize tons of men's health care costs like Viagra, prostate cancer treatments. In fact, the entire basis of any insurance program, including car insurance, is that you will pay to cover benefits which you won't use, but others will, and others will pay to cover benefits that you will use, and they won't.
03-10-2017 , 01:29 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bahbahmickey
Why do you think the middle class will have less money to spend under Trump?



Writing "lolsamplesize" should do enough to let you know how terrible your post is, but I am going to add to it.

Insinuating the bottom falling out of the market on one president (especially in this case when clinton had more to do w/ 2008 than Bush did) is ignorant.

Also, "higher taxes, more of a push for higher MW, Obamacare becomes law, more regulation" under obama led to the slowest economic recovery the USA has ever had in its history... EVER.
In all this tribalism you're kind of missing the point. Obama was going to end up with a bigger economy than what he started out with. Period. The economy was going to improve barring almost anything Obama did. It might improve a couple of points more or less depending on his specific policies but overall the ship was already moving in a direction and the US President can only turn the rudder a little bit. Trump is going to have good employment numbers for a bit because that's the way the economy is heading, regardless of what Trump does. Obama's "socialism" wasn't going to destroy the economy and Trump's deregulation and tax cuts aren't going to unleash prosperity because the tax cuts are going to be at the margins, they're not going to change anything fundamental.
03-10-2017 , 01:30 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bahbahmickey
Also, "higher taxes, more of a push for higher MW, Obamacare becomes law, more regulation" under obama led to the slowest economic recovery the USA has ever had in its history... EVER.
That's a silly metric. The economy may have grown faster after the 2001 recession, but it ended in the worst economic disaster since the Great Depression. Measuring from the bottom to the top and ignoring 2008/09, is dishonest.
03-10-2017 , 01:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bahbahmickey
Writing "lolsamplesize" should do enough to let you know how terrible your post is, but I am going to add to it.
And yet here you are writing posts asserting that in a sample size of 1 (the Trump administration) the market will continue to go up because of underlying structural factors that you acknowledge right here are subject to wild variance!

How are you so good at making my own point for me, mickey?

      
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