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A picture that should keep Republicans up at night. A picture that should keep Republicans up at night.

04-06-2014 , 09:49 PM
04-06-2014 , 09:58 PM
???
04-06-2014 , 10:00 PM
I alawys liked how the two guys in the song were the joker and the thief and not like a priest and a knight in shininng armor. in real life the priest and the soldier are never the warriors of change. Also lol at the dem winning north carolina instead of pennsylvania.
04-06-2014 , 10:00 PM
Ohio is basically a blue state too
04-06-2014 , 10:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by spaceman Bryce
Also lol at the dem winning north carolina instead of pennsylvania.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/politi...723_story.html

Quote:
For perspective, I asked William H. Frey, a demographer and census expert at the Brookings Institution, as well as Republican and Democratic strategists of past campaigns, for their assessments of trends in the battleground states, based on demography and internal politics.

Frey analyzed nine states and found little good news for the Republicans. He found five — Colorado, Florida, Nevada, North Carolina and Virginia — definitely moving toward the Democrats because of their growing diversity. Obama won all but North Carolina in both of his presidential races.

Frey cited Ohio as one state that could become more hospitable to Republicans, because aging white baby boomers continue to make up a large part of the population there. Noting that candidate quality can make a difference, he wrote in an e-mail, “Democrats would have to be lucky and much more pro-active with blue collar whites to continue success there.”

He sees some glimmers of hope for Republicans in Michigan and Pennsylvania, if the GOP can find the right candidate. But he also envisions potential problems for the party in states such as Arizona and Georgia, which he said could be toss-ups by 2016 and could lean Democratic in the long run.

Frey said three states — Iowa, New Hampshire and Wisconsin — probably will continue to be toss-ups, in large part because of smaller minority populations. But none can be said to be moving in the GOP’s direction.
04-06-2014 , 10:13 PM
I agree with most of that. just pennsylvania in specific.
04-06-2014 , 10:25 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by spaceman Bryce
I agree with most of that. just pennsylvania in specific.
I agree that Pennsylvania is a probably a long shot for Republicans. That just makes the map even more scary for them IMO.
04-07-2014 , 01:26 AM
Gotta think there is a decent chance Florida goes back to red, as well as NC. But if the repubs lose any of the states they've carried historically, they are in trouble.
04-07-2014 , 02:01 AM
Was expecting two black lesbians talking loudly on Obamaphones while using EBT card to buy drugs.
04-07-2014 , 02:39 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JayTeeMe
Was expecting two black lesbians talking loudly on Obamaphones while using EBT card to buy drugs.
Would be funnier if it wasn't so close to reality.
04-07-2014 , 06:00 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JayTeeMe
Was expecting two black lesbians talking loudly on Obamaphones while using EBT card to buy drugs.
I was hopi... I mean, thinking it would be a naked Sarah Palin.
04-07-2014 , 01:39 PM
Eh he is dreaming with North Carolina. While on the state level the state has historically voted Democrat it has been a Republican state on the national level for a long time. In the last four years the Republicans have made huge progress in the state legislatures where they now have commanding majorities in both the Senate and House. So now the state is voting Republican on both the state and federal level with the one hiccup in 2008. And dude thinks NC is trending to the Democrats?

To give some perspective on how huge this shift is. When the Republicans took majorities in both bodies in 2011, it was the first time that had happened since 1870. Throw in electing the first Republican Governor in 20 years and I'm not sure what this dude is smoking as far as North Carolina goes anyways.
04-08-2014 , 11:13 AM
No way it's gonna be that close.
04-08-2014 , 01:57 PM
OP (grunching...),

I don't get it, why should that picture keep republicans up at night? if anything I would think this should keep democrats up at night. I certainly assumed that such a map right now would be much bluer and indicate a much higher likelyhood of a D win in 16. This says to me tha tthe Rs aren't nearly as out of it as many D cheerleaders think (cf. "death of the republican party" &c).
04-08-2014 , 02:20 PM
A picture where Republicans win Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania without winning Florida, North Carolina, Nevada and Virginia is not one remotely possible.

Any Republican winning one of Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania has comfortably won re-election.
04-08-2014 , 05:25 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jokerthief
FYP.

      
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