Quote:
Originally Posted by jjshabado
The trend of you dodging any meaningful discussion? I'm pretty sure that trend will continue.
Similar to how I view you... The reality is I at least attempt to answer your questions. You, however, completely ignore most of mine. From now on, every time you ignore a challenge put to you, I'll go ahead and put you down as not disputing the point within.
Quote:
Originally Posted by jjshabado
I don't think I've ever hidden my justification of laughing at you. At least not since long before in this thread when I pointed out you don't understand basic supply/demand economics.
No, that would be you. Because in order for that to work, you'd need to allude to a replacement. Saying "see, as prices rise, people used less!" without identifying what they switched to in order to maintain growth doesn't really show how peak isn't happening. In fact, it's underlining that peak is happening by conceding reduced buying power.
Quote:
Originally Posted by jjshabado
So just to be clear, my focusing on your lack of meaningful predictions is two-fold:
1. Without you explaining what you think the consequences of not acting are, there's no point discussing whether we should act or not. You're crippling the most meaningful part of the discussion of peak oil. (Like I said, nobody disagrees with the fundamental idea of a finite resource running out as we use it. The disagreement is on when/how that happens/works).
So don't act. Again, I don't need to convince you. I'll just continue to show that it is happening, as $16 trillion in TARPs and QEs and other bailouts help confirm, along with shale liquidations and majors' CAPEX reduction. At that point, it's up to people like you to either accept it, or soothe your vulnerable, sensitive BAU mindset with a counter-narrative as to what is really causing all of that.
(still waiting to here about it)
Quote:
Originally Posted by jjshabado
2. Since I'm extremely confident your logic and arguments are flawed, you making predictions means I believe I'll be able to mock you in the future. If you had true confidence in your predictions you'd make them - so that you in turn could use those to mock future me (and convince other people you were right all along).
LOL... You don't even understand some basic terms involved in this discussion, so your "extreme confidence" is pure hubris. Still waiting for you to admit you didn't understand that unconventional oil refers to a specific definition.
We're hundreds of posts in here, and you haven't really countered anything that I've said. All you've done is hand-wave, pretend alternatives (that you can't actually identify) exist, show one entry where I cited the EIA missing on unconventional production, and shout "you're wrong" a whole lot. That's it. ...Then, when I ask questions that might get you to actually flesh out what I'm fundamentally wrong about, you ignore them and shift gears to something else. That's the extent of your efforts in this thread.
So like I said: ... If I say take the points on a game, I don't need to give you the final score. You can jump up and down and act like a toddler all you like. But you can't say I haven't given a prediction.
In any event, do keep your money right where it is, JJ... I'm sure the next 20 years will be as smooth as the last 20, only bigger! And better! Because alternatives!!!