HRC Supporters, How Can You Support the Concept of Super Delegates?
The entire concept of Civil Rights (as it is usually used) wasn't exactly welcomed with open arms by a majority of Americans. In fact, it had to be crammed down the throats of a lot communities by a removed Washington elite, and enforced by men with guns, literally. It wasn't like Bull Conner took a vote of the other Hill Billies and they decided to open up the lunch counter.
It's not really a partisan thing, your "rights" are always susceptible to both the tyranny of the majority and of the autocrat. Donald Trump has advocated a loosening of the libel laws to make it easier to get judgements against media outlets, which would be a direct assault on the First Amendment. He has also called for religious identification of Muslim Americans, another doozy. Obama has killed American citizens without due process. There would be a very good chance of all these "Civil Rights" violations passing if put to a direct democratic referendum.
It's not really a partisan thing, your "rights" are always susceptible to both the tyranny of the majority and of the autocrat. Donald Trump has advocated a loosening of the libel laws to make it easier to get judgements against media outlets, which would be a direct assault on the First Amendment. He has also called for religious identification of Muslim Americans, another doozy. Obama has killed American citizens without due process. There would be a very good chance of all these "Civil Rights" violations passing if put to a direct democratic referendum.
The fact that he's closer to the center than loons like Cruz doesn't mean he's all that close to it.
Given your entrenched two-party system, I guess this is a fair complaint. But its not crazy that people that refuse to identify with a party don't get to vote for that party's nominee and ultimately that party's platform.
In Canada, I would find it outrageous if non-party members COULD vote in the internal party elections.
In Canada, I would find it outrageous if non-party members COULD vote in the internal party elections.
Bernie supporters get a little ridiculous at this point. HRC has received far more votes then Bernie.
Any argument that Bernie is more popular than Hillary is pretty speculative at best [Not necessarily wrong, but far from guaranteed to be right].
There are possible strong arguments. Consider a sports analogy. Which football team is favored to win the superbowl: one that is 15-1 and has barely beaten weak competition in its last 5 games or one that is 12-4 but has improved dramatically after a slow start and beaten top teams by a wide margin its last 5 games? Hillary is losing ground despite benefiting from a range of unfair advantages, including near blackouts of the Sanders campaign in the media early on.
And polling better than Trump is also a ridiculous argument. Bernie's policies have gotten almost no coverage aside from very broad strokes. If he were actually the nominee and got known better by the general electorate his polling against Trump goes way down.
You are saying that as voters got to know the positions of someone in more agreement with them they would turn away, even as the primary and polling indicate that as more people know Sanders the more the his support broadens. That's why you will always be a stupid sheeple, JJ. You just can't think. You can only follow.
Obviously as a Sanders supporter, you prefer the framing that makes the race look closer, but which framing do you think most casual "at-a-glace" news consumers are more interested in? No "corporate media" conspiracy is required. I know, I know, I'm just a sheeple who's not able to see through the corporate media thought control like you are.
Parties are given tax payer money. There's no primary system per se. Parties choose their leaders on their own time frame, not on the election time frame.
He's been falling behind for almost the last month. I'm not sure which poll had him ahead, because I don't consider end of March/start of April recent.
I'll assume this is as good of a read as when you said something like I'd never take risks in my life and always work for a big corporate company.
Why would you think the actual lead would have to exclude the super-delegates? It seems like you're just declaring that your preferred framing (i.e., which candidate has more popular support among the primary voters) is the only legitimate way of looking at it. To the extent that what you're saying is true, it's obvious that the media's framing is different - which candidate is going to win the nomination? In this case, it would be silly to exclude super-delegates, since they're just trying to predict what's actually going to happen at the convention.
It's not a question of "framing" either. When you conflate the questions of who is ahead at the moment with the question of who will win you are being dishonest, not framing. It is an attempt to discourage would-be Bernie voters and portray the contest as out of reach for Bernie. It is also using a technique from advertising called the band wagon effect.
I know, I know, I'm just a sheeple who's not able to see through the corporate media thought control like you are.
What's stranger is she's not winning. She's not finishing. People don't really want to get behind her. Jon Stewart suggested she isn't a real human. Maybe that is because she is about tied with Trump nationally at the moment. Critically, among independent voters, Bernie is beating Trump among independent voters by 22 points while she is losing by 2 points. Bernie is beating Trump in the major battleground states while she is tied. She is tied with one of the most unpopular people to ever win a major party nomination. Around 40 percent of Bernie supporters will not vote for her and frankly I am skeptical of that number which I think is low. I think many Sanders supporters will stay home in many scenarios.
I have as much way of knowing that as you have of knowing what you were saying.
You realize there are a whole bunch of voters that aren't paying attention at all to the Democratic nomination, right? And that would absolutely not support the majority of Sander's platform.
Hah, you used sheeple non-ironically. Nice.
I'll assume this is as good of a read as when you said something like I'd never take risks in my life and always work for a big corporate company.
This might be a confusing and distressing time for you, the herd not quite herding like it has in the past.
Deuces, I just read the first part.
You were talking national polls. Were you lying, wrong, or are there polls that aren't listed at the link I posted.
I know saying things as fact and just ignoring when people prove you wrong is your 'thing', so I'll let you focus on just this simple reply before addressing the rest of your post.
You were talking national polls. Were you lying, wrong, or are there polls that aren't listed at the link I posted.
I know saying things as fact and just ignoring when people prove you wrong is your 'thing', so I'll let you focus on just this simple reply before addressing the rest of your post.
It's not a question of "framing" either. When you conflate the questions of who is ahead at the moment with the question of who will win you are being dishonest, not framing. It is an attempt to discourage would-be Bernie voters and portray the contest as out of reach for Bernie.
If I was going to assert that I know your mind it would be that you think I am right about this particular issue. I mean, you can't be that stupid to not realize that the corporate sector desperately prefers Hillary over Bernie and to not see through the simplest of its tricks once it is pointed out to you and explained in detail. You could be that dishonest to pretend otherwise though.
Which is why he could be stopped by a court if it came to that. g we have civil rights is not to say they are never violated. In some instances these protections are very slow moving. In the American South for example, it took almost 100 years to free blacks from slavery. Ultimately what gave that effort teeth was the constitution. Civil rights are the protections against tyranny of the majority.
I know saying things as fact and just ignoring when people prove you wrong is your 'thing', so I'll let you focus on just this simple reply before addressing the rest of your post.
Did you make that graphic or did you link it from somewhere? Because it's incorrect, there were two polls on the 18th, the Fox News poll and the Quinnipiac poll. In the Fox News poll, it's Clinton +5 over Trump, Sanders + 15. In the Quinnipiac poll it's Clinton +1 over Trump, Sanders +6. So it's not +1 vs. +15. It's +5 vs. +15 and +1 vs. + 6. To be fair your general point may still be correct but you shouldn't pollsplain Sanders by combining two different polls.
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-e...ReleaseID=2324
That's the Quinnipiac poll from the 18th, Sanders +6 over Trump, Clinton +1 over Trump.
The Sanders +15 over Trump is from a Fox News poll (also released on the 18th) which had Clinton + 5 over Trump, so they took the Trump +15 from Fox News and paired it with Clinton +1 from Qunnipiac.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/
The earlier Quinnipiac poll had Bernie +10 and Clinton +5 over Trump from Feb 2-4.
That's the Quinnipiac poll from the 18th, Sanders +6 over Trump, Clinton +1 over Trump.
The Sanders +15 over Trump is from a Fox News poll (also released on the 18th) which had Clinton + 5 over Trump, so they took the Trump +15 from Fox News and paired it with Clinton +1 from Qunnipiac.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/
The earlier Quinnipiac poll had Bernie +10 and Clinton +5 over Trump from Feb 2-4.
Ok yeah, that is correct. It seems like there might have been a conscription error that the maker of the table made when they got the numbers from RealClear, which has the Fox listed right above the Quinnipiac poll. That looks like Excel conditional formatting with the colors, so I guess someone was getting the data by hand and made that mistake transferring to their spreadsheet.
It's like you think in memes that are connected to some wishful version of reality, memes that just so happen to fit a propaganda narrative. With me, you really think I am an insane dishonest person or something like that because my views challenge the establishment. This is what propaganda tells you to think of people like me, but it's not connected to anything real.
This is always what I do when it is shown to me that I got something wrong, and I am one of the few posters here that ever admits when they are wrong. It just so happens that you and Duker have never caught me riding dirty, try as you might. Yet no doubt, despite me showing you this exchange, you will persist in saying that I ignore it or deny it when people prove me wrong.
I proved you wrong just up thread. I linked to a list of national polls that directly contradict your two claims that:
1. Bernie is catching up to Hillary
2. There was a recent poll showing he's ahead.
And you didn't admit you were wrong. You instead just made another unsubstantiated claim.
It's like you think in memes that are connected to some wishful version of reality, memes that just so happen to fit a propaganda narrative. With me, you really think I am an insane dishonest person or something like that because my views challenge the establishment. This is what propaganda tells you to think of people like me, but it's not connected to anything real.
Hah, you're such an establishment challenger! So much so that instead of believing an independent source listing a diverse group of recent polls you just take a candidate's word about how they're doing. Deuces, you're literally making statements of fact ITT based off of nothing but the word of a man who is clearly not going to tell you the unbiased truth.
Like even you have to see the hilariousness of what you're writing here.
After the Nevada campaign Bernie and Hillary were tied but the media was reporting it as like 500 to 70 and emphasizing Clinton's insurmountable lead. Actual pledged delegates were tied IIRC. After he beat her in NH Bernie was ahead in pledge delegates but all over the media the score was reported as like 300something to like 40.
There are petitions all over to try to get this stopped. My view is that the campaign should sue ALL the outlets participating in the fraud. The NYT has actually stopped reporting it that way (now that Clinton has nearly won).
Of course, anybody who doesn't share your views must be stupid and/or lying. You're no different than the "liberal media bias" idiots on the right.
Let me ask you another question which I also think marks people as either stupid of lying if they disagree with me. Did payments of millions of dollars to Hillary by banks for 40 minute speeches represent one piece of a quid pro quo? If you don't believe they do so represent, you are either lying or stupid. I don't think disagreement always means the other party is either stupid or lying, but some do.
Spoiler:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...824.html#polls
But at least you're entertaining!
You keep putting the word "actual" in bold which I find strange because a focus on that word should have brightened things for you by now. There is actuality and potentiality. The pledged delegates are actual votes. The super delegates are only potential votes. Counting potential votes as if they are the same as actual votes is blatantly dishonest. It is exactly as if you took a poll way before the election and reported the results as if they were actual votes. The propaganda practice, implemented this campaign season across corporate owned media, is a plain attempt to deceive voters into thinking the race is not winnable for Bernie, making it look as though Hillary's lead is insurmountable and that she is more popular than among voters than she really is.
No, you just haven't.
That this could happen is a true fact. It is a possible outcome. I am not lying here in any way shape or form.
The statement that Bernie has been rising in national polls is undeniably true. I put no time frame on that. If you go back to December and look at the graph you posted you will see the trend I am referencing, a trend that would stick out to any even slightly objective observer. Going back further the trend is even more pronounced. The progress made by Bernie against the preordained, presumptive, consensus winner has been amazing. And all the while this has happened through virtual media blackouts. If you don't want to see the trend of Bernie rising the you are only demonstrating your blindness, once again. Of course there is variance but less recently than in the past. The overall trend is so stark I just can't conceive of how you can look at it, post it, and deny it. Your fidelity to propaganda is extraordinary.
On the claim that one recent poll showed him ahead, I told you that was from Bernie himself in a speech. I might dig that up later. In the mean time why wouldn't these pools do?
This was posted on truthdig on April 18th.
This is my opinion, obviously not presented as a "fact". I am perhaps more involved in this election than you. I think about an array of factors, not just national polling. The mere losing of Indiana and West Virginia are reasons to say Hillary is losing ground. But I was also aware of her negatives rising. She is also losing ground relative to Trump. Biden is going around saying he would have been the best president. The FBI is asserting that their investigation is going forward. So I have a lot supporting my opinion that Hillary is losing ground.
You point to a recent short term downward trend of Sanders (per your graph) going from 45.8 nationally against Hillary to 44.5 nationally. That is a legit point to support your counter argument. I consider it pretty weak because the change is very small, but it is an argument supporting your opinion on the question of whether Hillary is losing ground. You seemed to have narrowed that question to national polling, and within that rubric, to very recent small changes being decisive. That's just arbitrary and myopic at that.
Originally Posted by Deuces McKracken View Post
So by the end of the primary you could have a situation where Bernie is more popular than Hillary.
So by the end of the primary you could have a situation where Bernie is more popular than Hillary.
Originally Posted by Deuces McKracken View Post
Bernie has been rising in national polls. One recent poll had him ahead.
Bernie has been rising in national polls. One recent poll had him ahead.
On the claim that one recent poll showed him ahead, I told you that was from Bernie himself in a speech. I might dig that up later. In the mean time why wouldn't these pools do?
After once being down by more than 50 points:
Bernie Sanders is ahead of Clinton nationally in the PRRI/The Atlantic poll, 47 percent to 46 percent.
Bernie Sanders beats Clinton nationally in the McClatchy-Marist poll, 49-47 percent.
Bernie Sanders is also ahead of Clinton in the Ipsos/Reuters national poll, 49-[48] percent.
Bernie Sanders is ahead of Clinton nationally in the PRRI/The Atlantic poll, 47 percent to 46 percent.
Bernie Sanders beats Clinton nationally in the McClatchy-Marist poll, 49-47 percent.
Bernie Sanders is also ahead of Clinton in the Ipsos/Reuters national poll, 49-[48] percent.
Originally Posted by Deuces McKracken View Post
Hillary is losing ground despite benefiting from a range of unfair advantages, including near blackouts of the Sanders campaign in the media early on.
Hillary is losing ground despite benefiting from a range of unfair advantages, including near blackouts of the Sanders campaign in the media early on.
You point to a recent short term downward trend of Sanders (per your graph) going from 45.8 nationally against Hillary to 44.5 nationally. That is a legit point to support your counter argument. I consider it pretty weak because the change is very small, but it is an argument supporting your opinion on the question of whether Hillary is losing ground. You seemed to have narrowed that question to national polling, and within that rubric, to very recent small changes being decisive. That's just arbitrary and myopic at that.
You think pretending super-delegates don't exist would be more accurate than acknowledging that they will, in fact, vote at the convention.
It is fine to talk about super delegates but do so honestly and accurately, not deceitfully. Super delegates can and do change. In fact it is obvious that pledged delegates have an effect on super delegates. When Obama starting pulling away in pledged delegates the super delegates, who were overwhelmingly for Clinton at the outset, starting switching sides. In that election, the NYT reported the delegates honestly, per policy. This time out they think it is their right and responsibility to mislead the sheeple like you into thinking Bernie has no shot.
Showing super delegates in counts - totally dishonest bull****. Claiming that Bernie is rising in polls after he's dropped 5 points in the last month by cherry picking some random date 5 months ago - totally legitimate!!!
As for those three polls, they're included in the realclearpolitics list I posted above. They don't count because they're from March and there's 8 more recent polls since then. I even posted the screenshot so you wouldn't have to click a link!
As for those three polls, they're included in the realclearpolitics list I posted above. They don't count because they're from March and there's 8 more recent polls since then. I even posted the screenshot so you wouldn't have to click a link!
You should read some of my posts to Duker. Or, you know, don't bother on second thought.
This is why I ask you to quote me, because otherwise you just respond to what you wish I said. I said Hillary is losing ground and I later explained why I thought that. Those polls are not the determinant of that question. As to the question of whether Bernie is rising in the polls, this is the same chart you posted, but not truncated in the way you presented it:
Only a deluded person would look at this and deny the trend of Hillary losing ground and Bernie gaining. You see the brown line? That's Bernie. Bernie line go up.
I believe they are from April, not March. And anyway you don't decide for everyone that they "don't count" because that isn't your arbitrary definition of recent.
If you are going to skip over opponent's strong points and nit pick where you think there is an opening, at least be right once in awhile.
Claiming that Bernie is rising in polls after he's dropped 5 points in the last month by cherry picking some random date 5 months ago - totally legitimate!!!
Only a deluded person would look at this and deny the trend of Hillary losing ground and Bernie gaining. You see the brown line? That's Bernie. Bernie line go up.
As for those three polls, they're included in the realclearpolitics list I posted above. They don't count because they're from March and there's 8 more recent polls since then.
If you are going to skip over opponent's strong points and nit pick where you think there is an opening, at least be right once in awhile.
You are aware Hillary is under investigation by the FBI, right? There are some exogenous forces at play here. And physicists are saying we create our own reality so please, join me in wishing.
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