Open Face Chinese Strategy Thread
10-29-2013
, 03:47 PM
Quote:
I just had time to check, and I'm not sure if I agree.
Playing two-handed:
678 gets there 56.3% / 63.8% (UTG/BTN) of the time (provided all 4's, 5's, 9's and tens are alive)
3-handed:
56.3%/63.8%/72.3%
4-handed:
56.3%/63.8%/72.3%/81.4%
for one-gapper 679 (again provided that all 5's, 8's and tens are alive):
4-handed: 41.8%/48.1%/55.7%/64.7%
Use 3 or 2 first figures for 3- and 2-handed.
similarly for two-gapper (579, 569, 589 etc):
27.3%/32.5%/39.2%/47.9%
(Again, use 3 or 2 first figures for 3- and 2-handed.)
How did you come up with your numbers?
(the probabilities above are for that of the eight cards to come there are at least two cards that together complete the straight. Decisions made during the game are not included in the calculations)
Playing two-handed:
678 gets there 56.3% / 63.8% (UTG/BTN) of the time (provided all 4's, 5's, 9's and tens are alive)
3-handed:
56.3%/63.8%/72.3%
4-handed:
56.3%/63.8%/72.3%/81.4%
for one-gapper 679 (again provided that all 5's, 8's and tens are alive):
4-handed: 41.8%/48.1%/55.7%/64.7%
Use 3 or 2 first figures for 3- and 2-handed.
similarly for two-gapper (579, 569, 589 etc):
27.3%/32.5%/39.2%/47.9%
(Again, use 3 or 2 first figures for 3- and 2-handed.)
How did you come up with your numbers?
(the probabilities above are for that of the eight cards to come there are at least two cards that together complete the straight. Decisions made during the game are not included in the calculations)
Based on a simulation of about 10K hands and missing on the 6th street, we estimated the % of hitting a straight to be 65.5%. Below is the simulation.
10-30-2013
, 05:54 AM
10-30-2013
, 01:39 PM
10-30-2013
, 04:13 PM
10-30-2013
, 07:26 PM
11-01-2013
, 06:50 PM
My initial guess was Qd / Ah / 6d5s2s since we have more outs for two pairs and more draws for straights. However, my simulation showed otherwise. Of course, results might be different if Villain has a different hand but that would take forever to play around with. The simulation is to give you an idea of which play is better. I used a hand where Hero's next draw card misses but the card doesn't impact Villain's hand either.
11-01-2013
, 07:36 PM
I just introduced a friend to the game. He's probably played less than 200 hands when he got dealt A
K
QJ10 UTG, heads up and placed the straight at the bottom and typed "that was easy" into our chat box.
I plan on responding to him that it's a little more complicated that it looks (even if his setting turns out to be the best), but would like to hear some thoughts on this first. Would you set the straight on the bottom like my friend did or would you choose another set?
I personally, would probably have played J/K/AQ10hhh or x/KJ/AQ10hhh.
KQJ10 UTG, heads up and placed the straight at the bottom and typed "that was easy" into our chat box.I plan on responding to him that it's a little more complicated that it looks (even if his setting turns out to be the best), but would like to hear some thoughts on this first. Would you set the straight on the bottom like my friend did or would you choose another set?
I personally, would probably have played J/K/AQ10hhh or x/KJ/AQ10hhh.
11-04-2013
, 04:31 PM
