observed a hand and was thinking a bit about bluffing frequencies and value-betting thinly in "bluff" heavy spots. basically thinking out loud about how often we should want to vbet a pat 9 here, and/or a pat T.

6 handed, CO opens, BTN folds, SB 3-bets, BB folds, CO calls and they go HU

SB 1
CO 2

SB bets, CO calls

SB 1
CO 2

SB bets, CO calls

SB pat
CO 1

- given that SB 3-bet pre and drew 1, he should have more legit hands
- however, given that SB is 3-betting vs a late position open, he should now have more suspect hands as well, which include some natural snow candidates, like 4568.
- as such, given that SB should have more hands he's bluffing by the river, SB should theoretically have more thin, value-hands to properly compensate and stretch out his river betting range.

so ya, do we want to vb all 9's here in this spot then? what T's might we bet?

Assuming you have a 976xx or worse, you'll make far more money checking and calling bluffs than you will betting and getting called by picture card snowcatchers.

This is especially true if your opponent has never caught you snowing before.