Quote:
Originally Posted by / / ///AutoZone
should i wait for a better hand to snow with? or should my bluffing range simply be 0% in this spot?
0% sounds good to me. I know it's exploitable/exploitive. As I said my experience is that if someone pats here they are immovable at that point and will nearly always take their hand to showdown. More likely he calls down a 9 or even a T from the check/raise than giving up after patting it. Earlier points about opponent calling to draw one pre also show that his most likely holding is a ragged draw that got there and won't fold. If you want to have some bluffs you could wait until you have trip deuces or something that more effectively prevents him from being strong.
The only hope you have is to move them off another bluff, and risking 2 BBs to win 4 BBs you need villain to fold 1/3 of the time. I don't think any player has that many bluffs here, do you? I adjust by value betting wider - even the best 9s are a go since I expect this guy to be drawing one to an 8 or 9 and keeping a 9 or T here. I've even seen a Jack keep instead of drawing.