I'd delay putting a blank to the bottom until Villain gets a broadway card or a heart. It will be pretty decisive: he may put A/K/Q back to play safe aiming at a back pair or broadway (in which case Hero should put the next blank to the bottom going for 2p) or put non-heart A/K/Q up front aggressively (aiming to either foul or scoop big with a bottom flush), depending on Hero's cards at that moment (specifically, the number of hearts in Hero's hand), in which case Hero should go for a bottom boat because bottom 2p/trips will make no difference from a pair - Villain will either foul or beat any 2p/trips.
This Villain's strategical fork also explains why Hero should put the jack up front - this attacks the top effectively and strips Villain of the strategic option of putting a non-heart J/T up front to chase a bottom flush not worrying about the middle and top.
The weakest hands I'd apply for a fantasyland visa with OOP are like 6
4
3
/-/Q
Q
or 22/K/QQ, allowing me to get there 25-30% of the time if I'm not mistaken (I don't have Android/iOS devices so have to calc by hand). 8
6
7
/-/Q
Q
will hit back 2p/straight a bit over 60% of the time as I've explained in a
probability thread but the main problem will be with collecting KK+ in the middle (which, I reckon, will happen 20-25% of the time) and avoiding 2p bigger than 8's up there to prevent a foul in case the bottom is 8/7's up.
A single-pair AA/KK hand will appear in the middle like 15% of the time; you can put the next 8/7/6 up top if you see good straight prospects later in the hand, i.e. the absence of your backdoor straight outs in Villain's hand with 4+ cards to draw, and get the straight about half the time... hmm, I think you'll enter the fantasyland less often than 15% of the time either way, which will net you 20-ish points, while 85%+ of the time you'll lose 6 points, so going for it seems more -EV OOP than setting QQ/8/76 nittily, hoping for a small top royalty.
Putting Q
8
6
back seems slightly inferior OOP too because of the lack of information about the number of diamonds in Villain's hand - the a priori chance of hitting the flush is then 46-48%. In general, I strongly prefer to be IP when putting a 3-flush back in the initial setup - it allows me to see the number of my outs stolen by Villain's hand, which makes a huge equity difference.
Last edited by coon74; 04-23-2013 at 09:18 AM.
Reason: I don't go for fantasy w/ A2/K/QQ either - it hits <20%.