Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 4,280
When one player is drawing 2 ott there is a strong incentive for button to bet even UI, since his weaker pats do so much better HU than three-handed and he may not feel like betting many of them on the river. You can lead the Nine but if both players flat and D1 you'll be defensive on the river and become vulnerable. Since villain bet previous street, I'd be inclined to c/r and pat. If villain b/3b I likely call and draw without history.
Yes you make more if you bink and get multiway action on the river, but card removal makes it extremely rare for all three players to make value hands in a pot like this, and you're a favorite to have the best hand at the moment. You should improve your chance of winning by getting it HU if you can.