Quote:
Originally Posted by ScotchOnDaRocks
He does far better by betting since our defend rate is lower with mixed strategy but should be checking around 20% if the time signaled by the times he’s seen just one or no blockers
Quote:
Originally Posted by ScotchOnDaRocks
The IP player can bet just as much against an OOP player employing a 100% check strategy that does not c/r 1cd
You very well may be right about the first part, but I disagree with the second. I've done an EV calculation, giving both players xx832 on the 2nd draw. Checking has an EV of 0.73 BB while betting has an EV of 0.43 BB.
Assumptions:
I haven't made any mistakes
Discards: 9,T,T,J,J,Q,Q,K,K,A
No river betting
OOP player pats all J+ when IP checks behind
OOP c/r all 10+ when IP bets
OOP c/c all 1cds including T832
OOP never snows