Quote:
Originally Posted by SetofJacks
I'd like to know why you don't want to raise; I'd raise both streets.
My logic for calling turn was
1) with such a strong hand, I'm happy to let the button in possibly drawing dead
2) I'm happy to let the bb pat incorrectly when he could be drawing to beat me
3) calling here balances the times I want to call and pat a hand like a bad 8
4) I expect Villain will put me on a bad 8 and so if it does go 0/0/1, I'm certain to get a bet, whereas if I raise, btn folds, bb calls, and it goes 0/0 or even 1/0 then I may not get a bet on the river.
So looking at scenarios on how many extra bets we get:
Worst case: raise turn, btn folds, bb calls and check/folds river = 1 bet
Likely case: raise turn, btn folds, bb calls and check/calls river = 2 bets
Case I was going for: call turn, btn calls, bb leads river, I raise river, btn folds, bb calls = 3 bets
Reason not to just flat river: call turn, btn calls, bb leads river, I call river, btn calls = 3 bets
but doesn't give btn the chance to call 2 bets on the river and doesn't even guarantee btn will call, while bb is very likely to call river raise with whole pat range
Also the question is, on which street is the btn most likely to call 2 bets?