Quote:
Originally Posted by Rob...Chill
We’re beat far more often than .7% fwiw.
But if you want to lay me 100:1+ on somebody having better than pat 98 when they 3 bet me in single draw we can prob get a lot down for a fun prop (and I’m sure 3 bettin ranges even tighter 6 handed at a final table).
I did not phrase it clearly as well as I should have, I meant off the deal in a vacuum. Not given the fact that we are 3bet. And FWIW it is probably closer to 1%.
But anyway no bet, I know the numbers very well, even wrote about a long time ago when I played the game more often. Against a range of pat jacks or better we are probably good around 90% or better here
https://www.countingouts.com/deuce-t...and-decisions/
But I would suspect villain's range would also include many 1cd draws.
So my cerebrum indicated to me that I think overall we should maybe 3 bet small to get some action on the range that we beat. Small 3 bet may induce a shove where we have 70% (or greater) and that seems good enough for me. Final table can contain some lags especially in 2-7 NL with a lot of juice in pot and fold equity. Thoughts?
I'll let others crunch the math on how profitable the push is based upon their own assumptions.
Last edited by ScotchOnDaRocks; 06-30-2018 at 09:45 AM.