Quote:
Originally Posted by Codfish60
I'll admit I don't quite understand Bayes Theorem. If villain's raising range consists of decent 8s+ for value and say, 77xxx/88xxx for bluffs, and we've seen multiple extra low cards (not deuces but say 33-55), doesn't that increase the ratio of bluffs in his range with this added information?
Oh I was just trying to sound like Mr. Fancy pants lol
You and OTR just mentioned pair cards, and that is basically what I meant when I said low cards, 8s and 7s are low cards to me
The fact that you haven't paired just means that your opponent is more likely to hit one of them. So you are more likely to be raised for one reason or another, either as a bluff or value.
But the fact that we have not seen any of them at all is irrelevant to the river calling decision.
But you are exactly right that if we have seen multiple middle cards (3-5s) but no high low cards (7s and 8s)it does give us information that it is more likely to be a raise bluff. But the lack of pairs didn't give us anything at all.