11$ 2-7 SD PKO MTT: pat J7 vs 2 Discard, Late Position
Join Date: Sep 2012
Posts: 947
villain is loose passive.
effective stack is 19bb, his bounty is $5 (so $2.50 effective). Starting stack is 3.000 chips and it's a $11 buy-in.
PokerStars, $10 + $1 - Single Draw 2-7 No Limit - 250/500 (125 ante) - 4 players
UTG: 26,346 (53 bb)
BU (Hero): 19,269 (39 bb)
SB: 17,594 (35 bb)
BB: 9,507 (19 bb)
Deal: (1,250) Hero is BTN with 5♣ 7♠ J♣ 6♣ 2♠
1 fold, Hero raises to 1,055, 1 fold, BB calls 555
Draw One: (2,860) 5♣ 7♠ 6♣ 2♠ 9♥ (2 players)
BB draws 2, BU (Hero)?
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 15,623
I would draw one and catch the 9h.
Join Date: May 2016
Posts: 1,632
You're 71% standing pat vs 257, which is best case scenario for villain (3 to a wheel but no straight possibility). You're 64% if you pitch the J. You do have the additional implied odds of his bounty encouraging you to break your hand, since you'll probably check back on river if checked to and may even have some reverse implied odds if bet into (you probably have to call). I don't know this game well enough to say what the play should be, but my default would be to take my equity and pat. Cash game I'd be more likely to break.
Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 1,334
In position you should want the +implied odds hand since you will get more value when you get there and also bluff somewhat more successfully when appropriate.
Having said that, and this is a general NLSD point - this is not NLH. There are only 2 streets and antes are huge. Pre sizings should be a good deal larger - 3x seems good here.
