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Inevitable regression to the mean is just not something that works in football, given the season length. It's a romantic idea that everyone's breaks pretty much even out over the course of a season, but it's obviously not true. Over the course of all time, sure, but that's only analyzing it from a point of view where all breaks are the same, when the reality is that there are breaks in really high-leverage spots and then there are breaks that are functionally meaningless.
In conclusion, **** the Arizona Cardinals and all who support them.
That's a fair viewpoint and I don't disagree that not all breaks are created equal. My thing is more that teams have no real control over who the ball bounces towards once it hits the ground so it's hard to give teams credit for it. Additionally, if you focus on the forced fumbles (which ignores luck) and then try to factor in recovered fumbles, doesn't that double count things?
It's definitely not perfect or anything (again because it's not all equal) but I'm not really sure what to alter.
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The notion of "let's feel good for the Cardinals because they've always sucked and this is really nice for the five or six people in Arizona who have civic pride and have always been Cardinal fans" is just the absolute worst.
But I realize that rant is a rerun.
I'm basically a "I like Palmer" person and don't mind seeing him succeed when my team blows. Ever since Pit (who I hate) cheap shot him in the playoffs knowing they couldn't beat him and the subsequent "Marvin Lewis and the FO, your philosophy and approach blows and won't ever win a title so either trade me or I retire" ****show just made me like him. Anyone that is smart enough as a player to say "hey, marvin lewis is a moron and I need to go elsewhere to title" is aok in my book.
I don't actively cheer for them or anything, but it's a fun team to watch with a lot of speed. Plus good for Fitz. Most qq SB image for me is Fitz mouthing no no vs the Steelers.
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Bill Parcells once saying "you are what your record says you are" is maybe the fiercest attack on intellectualism in sports that has ever been launched.
He says that. Then hundreds of concussed former athletes go on the air and repeat it as if it's gospel. Then people in everyday life say it in conversation when discussing sports.
It's stab-yourself-in-the-balls awful.
This x 100
Last edited by JimHalpert; 12-10-2015 at 11:39 PM.
Reason: xposted with the fitz love post :thumb: