Aldo/Mendes (Aldo -250)
Really good main event featuring what I think are clearly the top two FWs in the world. No clue what happens after this one, don't think Hioki has a chance vs either. If Aldo wins, I think you have to start looking @ catchweight fights or a LW fight, and maybe the loser gets Nunes or Hioki. Big dropoff in talent after Aldo/Mendes right now.
Regardless, this should be a good fight. Aldo has dealt with great wrestlers before, but I think Mendes is the best wrestler in the division and has nasty takedowns. We've all seen Aldo shrug off takedowns though, and we know the ending if Mendes can't get it on the mat.
I like Aldo -250 but wouldn't bet it. This is Aldo's toughest fight to date. He'll prob jus smash and make me feel stupid for thinking it.
Belfort/Johnson (Belfort -135)
Who knows? If AJ goes full ****** AJ and stands, he prob gets flash KOd or beaten against the fence. If he keeps his weight down and has good conditioning and works a wrestling gameplan, he has a good chance. I don't think a head kick KO of Breenanman should have him thinking he should stand and trade with Vitor though, who is the second best striker in the division.
Palhares/Massenzio
Palhares is compelling. He has vicious submissions and a really checkered history with questionable ethics in fights. His only UFC losses are to Hendo and Marquardt, and the Nate fight had some weird circumstances. Massenzio is a good grappler, but he's just being fed to Palhares here, who should jump up in competition after breaking one of Massenzio's limbs.
Barboza/Etim
Has FOTN or KOTN all over it. I thought Barboza was the next great thing after seeing his leg kick demolitions, but he looked very 'meh' vs Pearson. Either way, this is a huge right for the future of the LW division. Both are at the very top of the LW division as far as striking goes. Barboza should win this this with muay thai and leg crippling kicks, but Etim is tough and a good striker.
One day the UFC is going to have to make Barboza face a half-way decent wrestler to see what his prospects at the top of the division really are.
Silva/Prater
Moved to main as UFC expects Silva to be a future WW contendor as is Brazilian. Him losing to Prater would be shocking.