Quote:
What are the chances that had Jericho not come into NJPW that Naito wins the belt at WK? I think it's almost certain.
I think "almost certain" is a bit strong. It's possible, I'll give it that. But ... there was a really good Youtube video someone made pre-WK explaining why, given NJPW's booking history with the IWGP title (and really, it's the same as in AJPW in the 1990s when, for instance, people thought Misawa dropped the Triple Crown to Kobashi years late), it was pretty likely that Okada was going to retain regardless. I can't find it now, but the reasoning given was pretty insightful.
Don't get me wrong, I still think they should have strapped Naito.