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Betting Strategy

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09-18-2012 , 11:56 PM

Priptonite

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2009 Posts: 17,204

I love DraftDay and thus far I've done fairly well, and would like to continue doing so. What have you guys been using as a betting strategy? This past week I had good success entering one team into a lot of games, but obviously this method is high variance as if the team fails for whatever reason you make nothing.

Anyone have any suggestions for optimal betting?

10-27-2012 , 06:35 PM

Ryza

centurion

Join Date: Apr 2012 Posts: 172

I've been thinking about this for a few weeks now... the only thing I've come up with is obv playing a more balanced team in the regular sized games, and going for broke in the larger player pool games by taking more studs and trying to get lucky on some long-shots with potential for break-out games to back them up.

Hope to hear thoughts on strategy from more serious players..

10-27-2012 , 11:47 PM

Biesterfield

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 8,042

Enter different types of games. H2H, large 50/50s, GPPs, both salary-based and pick'em.

10-31-2012 , 06:17 PM

STinLA

old hand

Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 1,882

Probably obvious, but try to find undervalued players and/or players who have a particularly favorable matchup that week. Various FFB sites have stats on fantasy points allowed against QB, RB, WR, etc. I try to find players close in the $9K-$11K range who are playing a team that has been giving up a lot against that position on average. Of course, a really detailed analysis would involve reviewing the defensive schemes and evaluating how the offensive scheme does against it, but heck, I'm only doing the freerolls and $1 games, so it's not worth that much of my time.

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