Quote:
Originally Posted by Black_Angler
Law:
It's possible that 1-2 has more degen style fish who just want the gamble. However if you ever move up in stakes you will find that the players start to split between good and recreational players with fewer and fewer degen/more and more social style fish. Move up and you will see.
Also, ever stop to think that you COULD have won more? -EV doesn't necessarily make you a loser in a soft game but it could be a metagame leak ( even if it's not you spewing the strat there are still probably better spots)....
I play mostly 20/40 limit these days. Over the years I've regularly played in 8/16 and 15/30 limit, and I dabble in 1/2, 2/5, 3/5, and 5/5 no limit.
Whether I "could" have won more is an unanswerable counterfactual. But that's the point. Live poker is a series of unanswerable counterfactuals. And in the absence of math, people make a bunch of assumptions. One of my favorite law professor scholars, Duncan Kennedy of Harvard, lampooned judges who made assumptions about economics in their rulings, saying "it all seems to depend on empirical data which nobody seems to have at hand". That's basically the premise upon which I analyze the various old wives' tales of live poker.
I don't care about this issue, particularly. It isn't like I go to the poker tables to talk strategy. I'd say that the vast, vast majority of the time, I'm not really a participant in these discussions.
But I also know that basically every winning poker player I know here in California doesn't give a crap about this issue. Some of them don't participate in the discussions at all, some participate. But none of them are bothered about it or go and post threads about it on 2+2. It's taken as part of the game. If anything, the strat talk keeps the fish happy.
Good poker players question received wisdom. If there's math to back it up-- as there is with a lot of questions about gameplay thanks to online poker, tracking software, and tools like PokerStove-- then fine, but it happens that there are many things that lots of players seem to believe that don't have any mathematical backing at all. They just believe them.
Now some of those things are obviously stupid things like having better luck after asking for a set-up. But others are not so obvious. For instance, there are plenty of live limit players who leak like a sieve in kill pots because they have convinced themselves of their amazing Superman-like ability to "outplay" their opponents who will wither in the face of their aggression when there is more money on the line. And I have seen that bad advice repeated more than once in online poker fora. I suspect if an online site offered kill pots and we had tracking software to analyze millions of hands, these players would be in for a shock. But we don't and the wives' tale persists.
The point is, if you want to say "don't talk strategy at the poker table", you need to analyze exactly the claim you are making. Are you really saying that the fish will turn into Phil Iveys if they hear a bit of poker strategy? I doubt that-- although I will tell you that some players I know (who are not winning players) actually seem to believe this. Are you claiming instead that the fish will change their play if there is strat talk? OK, if that is your claim, how would you go about proving this? How many hands would you need to record? 10,000? 20,000, for a significant sample. You probably need 10,000 with the strat talk and 10,000 without, right? And you'd need to carefully record statistics such as VPIP and agression factor. And you'd have to analyze if players react differently to different sorts of strat talk. Do the players react differently to a discussion of pot odds than they do to a discussion of starting hands? And what about whether it is presented in an insulting manner ("you play that garbage?") or a more neutral manner. For each of these questions, you need another 10,000 hands with good recordkeeping.
Nobody's done this. It's all assumption. It's all "well I saw some player do X when there was strat talk". Yeah, and you don't know if that player would have done not X without the strat talk. You know, sometimes bad players tighten up when they realize that they just lost 1/2 their disposable income for the week, or when they don't want to lose the winnings they already attained, or when they get tired, or when their mind drifts, or whatever. Attributing all these things to the strat talk, in the absence of hard data collected over tens of thousands of hands, is nothing but the post hoc ergo propter hoc fallacy.
What I'm asking of you is to engage in some actual critical thinking. The same critical thinking that produces winning poker players, who not only understand what to do but why they have to do it, and what conditions would make it appropriate to do something different. All those things originate from the ability to question received wisdom, to not assume that just because somebody says something, it is true.
On this issue, nobody has anything but anecdotes and stories. They aren't enough.
If you don't want to talk strat, don't talk it. If you don't want to play at a table where they talk strat, ask for a table change. If you can't avoid getting bothered by this issue, you need to think more critically about poker and what we actually do and don't know.