Quote:
Originally Posted by DougL
The idea that a good number of people believe there is such a thing as a $75k-$100k/year live 1/2 pro astounds me. It gets thrown out and taken at face value? Seriously, there exists such a beast who is a favorite to grind 1/2NL live, year after year? I'd refer you to the classic "what's a good WR at 10/20 NL" thread where people are offering to prop bet the don't side of not making $100/hour at 10/20 NL. That's 10x the stakes and only double the WR. I'm sure there are people who ran hot (maybe a 5/T shot mixed in) or who over-reported their best month as standard. Still, we're having a discussion of what $100k/year at 1/2NL is relative to a day job? How about $100K/year as a live pro vs. unicorn wrangler?
I know a good number of pros. boc4life is a long-time pro. Sure it can be done. The ones who are remotely happy don't grind small stakes. Most people have no idea how good someone like that actually is at poker. I know plenty of amazing players who aren't still in action. Most people don't have any idea how bad the bad stretches are for pros. Like if you have any remote question about your own mental make-up, don't consider it at all.
No one is making 75k a year playing 1-2nl period. Maybe someone made 6k In a month but that's not what we're talking about. As far as 2/5 NL, anything over 70k a year is phenomenal. If someone has done concideribly better over a 3 year span raise your hand. Here's the numbers I believe to be accurate for 2/5nl.
Numbers only apply for 2k hours+. Anything less the jury is still out, even 2k is small but it's big enough I think to make the assumptions below.
40$/hr + = top of the top, best of the best, great player 100% a winning player
30$/hr+ = great player, 99% sure a winning player.
20$/hr+ = jury is still out, good chance your a winnin player, report back at 4k hours
Anything less who knows, could be great. Could be horrible and just hit a heater.
Notice no where I said able to make a living. Win rate is only part of what makes someone able to last playing as a pro