Quote:
Originally Posted by MRBA
You have to be right about 1/6 time here to justify a call. So you can call pretty loose here. That said, most likely he started with 8s or a pocket pair and rivered trips or a second pair. Maybe played careful because didn't want to value own himself against your "aces"? Anyway, I prob fold here.
Unless OP has a solid read that villain is very aggro, I really doubt his raise on 3rd was prompted by snowmen. Given his line from 4th-6th of check/call/check I'd put him on three clubs that picked up a straight draw. Did he get there on 7th? Who knows, but given hero's checks on 6th and 7th, he might think a pair of Qs is good and is betting in case he wins. Normally you gotta call over 80% of the time getting 6:1 on the river, but I'd put these bricks in the muck this time.
Btw, I take it this is from an 8-game table or other similar mix? It's hard to get a solid read on most villains in mixed games like this because they may be sharks in one or two and a fish in the others.