15/30 with a 3 ante and 5 bring in. 7-handed

3rd

Villain 1 brings it in with 2 Q folds T folds Villain 2 looks like he wants to raise but limps 8 Villain 3 limps 5 I complete (A8)A; 4 folds. Rest call.

Villain 1 is solid TAG. Villain 2 is good tricky LAG. Villain 3 is the spot and does not fold or bluff.



4th

Me: (A8)A9 Check/Call
Villian1: (XX)26 Bet
Villain2: (XX)87 Call
Villain3: (XX)5J Call

5th

Me: (A8)A98 Bet
Villian1: (XX)26J Call
Villain2: (XX)874 Call
Villain3: (XX)5J6 Fold

6th

Me: (A8)A987 Check
Villian1: (XX)26J3 Bet
Villain2: (XX)8745 Raise

I think you need at least trips here to call two bets. Decent chance of getting jammed on 6th and possibly 7th.

My interpretation of third street is that he had low hearts and then noticed that two hearts were dead. Nobody tries to scare anyone with an 8 in S8. Eights are not very scary animals. So, V2 is not acting and it's genuine indecision.

It's hard to put V2 on less than a straight, even w/o the third street read. It's hard to put him on a 75 and a draw only since

1) You have the clubs
2) Without the straight V2 is possibly being freerolled on by V1, so V2 is being foolish re-opening the betting vs a possible 6 and hearts (or even a made flush).

The possibilities are practically only an 8 high straight w/ a draw to beat another low (or hoping V2 paired).

You have to hit an A (two aces), an 8 (one left, possibly none if original better had an 8 and I'm misreading), or a club (13-4-3=6), and it's all to get half the pot. You likely won't get creamed for more than 3 bets on 6th, and 1 bet on 7th as the pot is now massive. But damn, 3 bets in on what looks like a 7/2 outer. Not where I want to be.

I don't have a flush draw. If it matters, he tanked for a long while before raising sixth.

Fifth, unless Villain 2 is a particular acupuncturist who might check behind, I c/r to knock out at least one of the other players.

Sixth, with two Sixes out and your hand slightly dead I think calling and folding are both fine, slightly prefer showing down vs this lineup. The tank is only relevant vs a particular lawyer/singer who generally tanks only with the nuts.

Even playing for half you have too much equity to fold on Six.

ProPokerTools Stud Hi/Lo Simulation

600,000 trials (Randomized)

dead cards: t q 4

Hand	Pot equity	Scoops	Wins Hi	Ties Hi	Wins Lo	Ties Lo
ac 8s as 9c 8c 7s	29.09%	57,878	291,226	0	0	0
$L$L, A2 | 2s 6h jh 3h	25.96%	63,677	116,610	0	176,556	548
$L$L, 8*, TT+ | 8h 7c 4c 5c	44.94%	134,805	192,164	0	334,576	548

Should have said you have enough equity to call Six, but not a sin to fold.

6th is a really tough spot. With 2 dead sixes I guess i'm showing it down but I don't hate folding at all.

Having said that, the mistake in this hand is on 5. You should k/r the low board and try to get it at least 3-handed, if not HU.

This.