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The discrepancy is almost surely due to hands where you have an auto-steal, whether it be a bluff or actually the best hand that is worse than an 8.
Yeah, that makes sense. 1 out of every 8 hands or so sounds right for steal or just table full of bad up cards. Hm, would be interesting to try tracking those two numbers separately.
Possibly although I don't get to steal *too* often at .25/.5. I may be playing more 9s than I think I am. I don't have many short-handed hands so I don't think that's dragging me up. A little back of the envelope calculation shows the same number of 7s and 8s so probably I'm playing some of the best 9s too.
If you only played nines that didn't have the nine in the door, that would put you a little less than 22%, which seems close to where you are. What's your pfr?