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Get it in or wait - Razz

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06-09-2017 , 06:28 PM

RolldUpTrips

old hand

Join Date: Oct 2006 Posts: 1,334

Last hand of the level 1k-1k-4k-8k in the 1500 HORSE. I have exactly 7k after posting the ante and the next level will be 1k-2k-5k-10k after the dinner break.
2 hands left of Razz (including this one).

7 opens with 2 low cards behind him, my 2 and IIRC an 8. Only low card folded is a 6. I have (26)2. Get it in or continue to ante off?

Edit: Should point out that table is 7-handed so slightly increased chance of bring-in compared to 8-handed in future hands.

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06-10-2017 , 08:47 AM

monikrazy

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 28,046

Get it in for sure, though idk whether call or raise is better

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06-10-2017 , 02:43 PM

RustyBrooks

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 24,647

Uh, 262 is a pretty terrible hand, why do you want to get it in?

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06-10-2017 , 02:46 PM

RustyBrooks

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 24,647

Eh, your equity is better than I thought if he has ATC down, but I don't think he will. Against a reasonable stealing range you're somewhere between a 3:2 and 2:1 dog. I guess, granted, you don't have that many antes left. I admit I am not a tournament specialist.

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06-10-2017 , 03:34 PM

monikrazy

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 28,046

Update: ran a few quick sims and we are getting something like 34% equity hu if villain isn't stealing

More importantly, 262 is fairly close to exactly average strength for a hand so there doesn't seem to be any compelling reason to wait

Last edited by monikrazy; 06-10-2017 at 03:41 PM.

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06-10-2017 , 05:26 PM

RustyBrooks

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 24,647

Is 34% good enough to gamble? I honestly don't know.

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06-11-2017 , 04:12 PM

DeathDonkey

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2004 Posts: 12,875

Yeah I would get this in for sure

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