Quote:
Originally Posted by Detroit187
What range would you put the villain on ? Do you think our shove has any fold equity ?
I would shove or fold. Shove and I have a good chance to be the favorite. Fold and I have position on the villain in 8 of 9 hands every orbit.
Well, while he's not *that* aggro, he is OTB in an unopened pot. So I'd expect a wider range than just top 12%. AXs, big broadways, obviously all pairs, some SCs, hell, even air sometimes if the table has been tight (which we don't know about).
I think we have a good amount of FE against everything other than AJ+ and TT+. The few times he does call off with something worse like A8s or whatever, we're ahead (sometimes by a lot). Against the big hands we still retain *some* FE (not an awful lot of course), and still have marginal equity ourselves (3 A's against KK/QQ, 3 Q's against AK, plus our flush draws for another 2% or whatever, only really crushed against AA).
I can see the argument to wait for a better spot late in a tournament, but that really needs to mean a fold instead OOP.