It's all set. The main room manager never called me back, but Ryan the other floor already confirmed they would run it. I'll call them to double check.

It's on!

thanks Omaha8A2. I owe you a drink sometime during the night .

I'm very surprised they'll run all those games. Have fun

Its Greektown. The game hasn't run yet.

Take it down!

I think that was last night.

Pete.. how did you do?

I won zero dollars! Finished 10th. Five handed play w/ 10 left killed me as I had about 10bbs and went absolutely card dead. blinded out.

You don't need to look at your cards when you are 5 handed...

it was plo. so i saw about half of the flops for 20 minutes, completely missed every one. couldn't bluff since the others had 30+bbs.. not fun. last hand i had Ac6cAx, flop two clubs. i shove 3 bbs, called in three spots. no good.

Ouch bro.. that sucks

Anyone going to hit Vision tonight for some rxr?? I'm on the fence and trying to decide if I want to go. Someone sway my decision one way or the other. Lol

Go

On my way. Thanks for feeding my habit. Lol

So I made it almost to the first break. Playing omaha. I have just over 50k blinds are 200-400.. I'm in mid.. look down at kka9hh. I pot it to 2800.. There were a couple limpers in front. 4 callers. Flop comes 4-7-k rainbow. Checks to me I bet 7500. Folds to guy next to me. He calls. Turn is 3h. Two hearts on the board now. He says pot. That puts me all in.. river is an ace. He had 556q. Nice turn **** head. Gg. 17 outs going to the river. No way could I fold. Top set nut flush draw.

People play some craptastic hands man. I am often amazed by what some of the guys showdown at micro stakes cash PLO online.

Agreed. Don't know if I could have done anything different either. Oh well.

Sorry it didn't work out. Still, proud of you for going to play.

I haven't played any sort of tourney in ages but I def play that hand same way in 100bb micro stakes PLO cash.

Yea can't really say you play it any other way. Just a tough break.

Just so you know .. FireKeepers BBJ policy has changed. Now a room share once the jackpot gets over 75K ... which it just went over that mark in the last week or so.

AAAJJ beat ... use both hole cards.

Seems primed to hit since it really doesn't get over 40K very often. GL

What part of it is a room share?

https://en.wikipedia.org/?title=Gambler's_fallacy

It's not primed to hit. At all.

You can calculate the odds of a given bad beat qualifying hand being dealt, assuming 9 hands face up all the way to the river. I assumed that all $1.00 of the drop from each hand went into the BBJ (only $0.60 ish does, the rest goes into the reserve pot, but then it comes out to start the next one, so it's a wash in the long term). I worked it out for the MGM BBJ once and the odds were something like 150,000:1. So *on average* it would hit with $150k in the BBJ *if every hand went 9 ways to showdown*. That's obviously not the case, so figure maybe twice that in reality. I think there must be enough "bad" hands that get folded out before crossing the $20 mark to contribute to the pot that the odds are somewhat better based on the ones that *do* see a jackpot drop. (Although, I don't really remember that many hands with pots below $20 either.)


That was for quads over quads, so it'll hit a little more often for the AAAJJ as that's easier to get. But there's still no way the long term average should be less than $100k.

Even once the pot is above the long term average, it's not "primed to hit".

Math is a boner killer.

False.

DD + 36-28-36 + 5'9" --> 8====D