Quote:
Originally Posted by farohz
[converted_hand][hand_history]Poker Stars, $0.45 Buy-in (800/1,600 blinds, 75 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 3 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #10338822
SB: 11,213 (7 bb)
BB: 22,600 (14.1 bb)
Hero (BTN): 33,687 (21.1 bb)
Preflop: (225) Hero is BTN with K K
Hero raises to 3,200, SB folds, BB calls 1,600
Flop: (7,425) Q Q T (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets 1,600, BB calls 1,600
Turn: (10,625) 4 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets 3,200, BB raises to 17,725 and is all-in, Hero ?
I think my c-bet it weak ?
If I c-bet 2/3 pot he will fold ?
this hand was played bad from preflop to the end.
Preflop:
you should have raised more preflop. this is a micro stakes DONKAMENT. Most dont pay attention to raise more,less based on hand strength. Most call no matter what with anything, unless you raise more then you usually do.
with this in mind I would have raised 3.25 x BB to about 5k or so preflop.
Postflop if you had raised more preflop, I would raise to 4500 at mininum. As played you should have raised to at least 3750 at mininum
on the turn you should have raised 5000. As played its a crying hero call.
The reason why you cant fold here is: ITS DONKAMENT, yes the 1 or 2 that advocated folding are right that the VIllain COULD have Q x, be check calling, then check reraising all in to protect their hand from the possible flush draw on the turn.
But if Villain really is doing that, why is Villain, checking, giving you a free card to make a flush? wouldnt the villain NOT check, and just bet pot or all in? knowing you would probably be strong enough to call. Why check, risk getting beat by a flush?
This tells me that the Villain probably didnt have Q x. Villains likely probable holdings are Ax suited, bottom, middle pair Ace kicker flush draw, and he is thinking in true fish donk fashion: OMG I have bottom, middle pair with A kicker with flush draw, and I have the nut best hand, so I probabl;y have the other guy beat, but just in case I dont, I will reraise him all in, and he might fold, and if he calls, I am probably ahead, but if I am beat and he calls, then I will probably improve my hand and win.
Villain could also have 66 to JJ
Based on that villains range is wide enough that you have to call. Also you only have 20 BB's you have alreay put about 6500 out of your 20 BB stack into the pot already, so with that in mind and with what you are holding, and what the other guy likely has, you are practically almost pot committed here pot odds wise.
I just dont see how anybody could ever fold in this situation in a DONKAMENT like this
Also just think how stupid you would feel if you folded and Villain shows a Ax bottom pair or middle pair A kicker flush draw( which is a very likely holding for villain)
Mike