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FT 3b all in 25BB behind FT 3b all in 25BB behind

01-25-2016 , 10:27 AM
Hello

Hero is quite active on FT me and villain only had like 20 H together so he must see me as LAG
Villain is 32/29/0 only 20 H thou (ft hands)
In past 10 hands he try to steal SB i Nai 3bet and he folds then he opens BTN hand after i shove over (1st time i was light 2Nd time i actually had 99) he folds .

Now in this hand he snapshoves /0.001s/ I do think that i can profitably call this off as he would do this with lowpps stronger broadways and at least A9sX
WHat do you guys think ?

    Poker Stars, $0.91 Buy-in (800/1,600 blinds, 150 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 4 Players
    Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #37227010

    SB: 39,932 (25 bb)
    BB: 27,411 (17.1 bb)
    Hero (CO): 45,010 (28.1 bb)
    BTN: 22,647 (14.2 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is CO with A Q
    Hero raises to 3,600, 2 folds, BB raises to 27,261 and is all-in, Hero calls 23,661

    Flop: (55,922) 2 7 T (2 players, 1 is all-in)
    Turn: (55,922) K (2 players, 1 is all-in)
    River: (55,922) 9 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

    Spoiler:
    Results: 55,922 pot
    Final Board: 2 7 T K 9
    BB showed T T and won 55,922 (28,511 net)
    Hero showed A Q and lost (-27,411 net)



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    Thanks in advance

    Sorry for misleading Title were 18BB

    Last edited by DStruan; 01-25-2016 at 10:28 AM. Reason: ups
    01-25-2016 , 09:18 PM
    Hi man

    I don't see you mentioning ICM anywhere? I was a bit confused about your description of the hand(and it's late now!). Though from a quick read: seems like you have to fold there especially to a snap shove, because of ICM

    (I'm the guy from screen share session earlier)
    01-26-2016 , 05:17 AM
    I think that according to my calculations according to the info you provided folding would have definitely been better. (even to a ~12% 3bet)

    I think he has a strong hand here due to the fact it is his first 3bet at the table after 20 hands. (~5% 3bet)

    What % do you think he would shove here?
    01-26-2016 , 05:53 AM
    I thought 66+ (mby even 55 + ) AJo+ ATs+ /if he feel really hurt ATo A9s occasional KQ but thats more or less out of question, Thank you guys for your opinions i might be wrong there as i was opening a lot of hands i expected them to play back at me with weaker hands on spots like this. Couldve been wrong
    01-31-2016 , 04:14 AM
    It would help to know the payout structure.

    I think this is a call, not because we have odds against PPs (we don't, because of ICM) but because there is a good chance we have Ax or Qx crushed.
    01-31-2016 , 06:52 AM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by LektorAJ
    It would help to know the payout structure.

    I think this is a call, not because we have odds against PPs (we don't, because of ICM) but because there is a good chance we have Ax or Qx crushed.

    It was 90m Sng so payout was 1st 27,55% 2nd 18,5% 3rd 14% 4th 9,2%
    01-31-2016 , 12:16 PM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by LektorAJ
    It would help to know the payout structure.

    I think this is a call, not because we have odds against PPs (we don't, because of ICM) but because there is a good chance we have Ax or Qx crushed.
    +1 so many weaker ax hands in his range. Given your own image and also with 18bb villain may 3 bet less then all in with say KK+. If we cap villains range sometimes and we dominate the ax part of his range we have to call imo.

          
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