Open Side Menu Go to the Top
Register
A7o w/ 8bb - 3.50$ 45 man A7o w/ 8bb - 3.50$ 45 man

01-20-2016 , 03:17 PM
Hey guys,
My original plan was to shove but villain is playing 22/4 after 30hands (small sample size I know)
So not so sure if shove or not??

[converted_hand][hand_history]Poker Stars, $3.19 Buy-in (60/120 blinds, 15 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 8 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #37224549

MP3: 450 (3.8 bb)
CO: 2,654 (22.1 bb)
BTN: 2,328 (19.4 bb)
SB: 3,866 (32.2 bb)
Hero (BB): 987 (8.2 bb)
UTG+2: 1,849 (15.4 bb)
MP1: 1,747 (14.6 bb)
MP2: 738 (6.2 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 7 A
4 folds, CO raises to 240, 2 folds, hero?
01-27-2016 , 07:36 AM
Those stats basically mean 1 "active" move and 5 "passive" moves out of something like 28 hands.

We don't have good data on his PFR yet - we've seen him raise a second time on this hand (remember HUD data is one hand out of date when you're comparing his last move with his general stats) - but the 5 passive moves really do give us a good idea.

If we look here:
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/19...-post-1585010/

someone whose real gap is 6 percent (maybe an 24/18) would be a 6 times (2.36 vs 14.51) less likely to record 5 passive moves out of 30 as someone whose real gap is 12 percent. There are plenty of both types of players in the player pool so we can be pretty sure he's from the latter group. We have enough to start stereotyping basically, even though the PFR stat on it's own is pretty consistent with any PFR under about 15 - it would interesting to know what his holding and position on the "other" PFR was. If it was a compulsory raise or if it was some kind of a steal.

This is probably a fold against this player. Maybe you can flat and donk half-pot on most flops if you think he's going to play fit-or-fold.
02-01-2016 , 08:41 AM
Very interesting thank you

      
m