8/180 K5o in BB, facing shove from shortstack - MTTSNG -- Two Plus Two Poker Forums

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8/180 K5o in BB, facing shove from shortstack

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11-25-2011 , 11:12 AM

freeworld777

enthusiast

Join Date: Jun 2008 Posts: 78

This hand came up last night. We're both short, no reads on villain except that he's a Supernova so I assume he's going to be shoving close to ATC from here with his stack. Can we/ should we call here with K5o?

[converted_hand][hand_history]Poker Stars, $7.34 Buy-in (300/600 blinds, 50 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 8 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #11125402

MP2: 3,620 (6 bb)
MP3: 3,550 (5.9 bb)
CO: 15,216 (25.4 bb)
BTN: 7,274 (12.1 bb)
SB: 13,431 (22.4 bb)
Hero (BB): 4,260 (7.1 bb)
UTG+2: 7,565 (12.6 bb)
MP1: 1,008 (1.7 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 5

3 folds, MP3 raises to 3,500 and is all-in, 3 folds, Hero ???

11-25-2011 , 09:17 PM

MDG0RD0N

grinder

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 664

1) Re-read your own post
2) www.pokerstove.com
3) ???
4) Profit

Spoiler:

11-25-2011 , 10:02 PM

Birkin

old hand

Join Date: Sep 2008 Posts: 1,362

This is vs a 70% range as I think 100% may be a little too wide from MP. 80% may be more accurate but:

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

17,547,691,392 games 13.099 secs 1,339,620,687 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 51.785% 49.12% 02.66% 8619922140 467138640.00 { 22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J2s+, T2s+, 93s+, 84s+, 74s+, 63s+, 53s+, 43s, A2o+, K2o+, Q3o+, J5o+, T6o+, 96o+, 86o+, 76o }
Hand 1: 48.215% 45.55% 02.66% 7993491972 467138640.00 { K5o }

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11-25-2011 , 11:38 PM

striiing

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 4,402

call

11-26-2011 , 11:25 PM

OMGClayDol

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2010 Posts: 11,060

pokerstove

do not assume he is on atc though, very wide on average for sure but just be a bit conservative (e.g. i'd rather assume 70% than 100%)

11-27-2011 , 11:43 AM

betgo

banned

Join Date: Aug 2004 Posts: 28,590

Yeh, put him on 70%. You are getting over 1.6-1 on a flip. Think you have to take edges like this in a 180 even if it's for most of your stack.

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