$7/45, Call or fold to shove
09-12-2013
, 10:18 PM
Went into some deep maths for this one, with the board of 5s9h2s, I calculated that with no bluffs added to villains perceived range of AsKs, AsQs, AsJs, KsQs, JJ+, 99, 55, 22, and A9, my equity was around 29.7% after villain shoves. The pot odds come to 34%, which means calling here is technically wrong if no bluffs are within the range. Would you have made this call? By the way the range will have likely been looser for this particular villain but just assuming it is this tight will be more helpful for tackling future decisions against other villains.
Poker Stars, $6.42 Buy-in (15/30 blinds) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 8 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #19419571
Hero (BTN): 1,345 (44.8 bb)
SB: 3,570 (119 bb)
BB: 3,000 (100 bb)
UTG+2: 2,155 (71.8 bb)
MP1: 1,445 (48.2 bb)
MP2: 1,075 (35.8 bb)
MP3: 910 (30.3 bb)
CO: 1,405 (46.8 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BTN with T
T
UTG+2 folds, MP1 raises to 90, MP2 calls 90, 2 folds, Hero calls 90, SB calls 75, BB folds
Flop: (390) 5
9 2 (4 players)
SB checks, MP1 checks, MP2 checks, Hero bets 270, SB folds, MP1 raises to 1,355 and is all-in, MP2 folds, Hero calls 985 and is all-in
Turn: (2,900) 5 (2 players, 2 are all-in)
River: (2,900) 7
(2 players, 2 are all-in)
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #19419571
Hero (BTN): 1,345 (44.8 bb)
SB: 3,570 (119 bb)
BB: 3,000 (100 bb)
UTG+2: 2,155 (71.8 bb)
MP1: 1,445 (48.2 bb)
MP2: 1,075 (35.8 bb)
MP3: 910 (30.3 bb)
CO: 1,405 (46.8 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BTN with T
TUTG+2 folds, MP1 raises to 90, MP2 calls 90, 2 folds, Hero calls 90, SB calls 75, BB folds
Flop: (390) 5
9 2 (4 players)SB checks, MP1 checks, MP2 checks, Hero bets 270, SB folds, MP1 raises to 1,355 and is all-in, MP2 folds, Hero calls 985 and is all-in
Turn: (2,900) 5
(2 players, 2 are all-in)River: (2,900) 7
(2 players, 2 are all-in)
09-20-2013
, 05:30 AM
In the 2nd level and without info that villain is a spewtard i fold. I think the villain mainly shove 2pair+ hands (mostly sets if he isn't complete ******ed to see a flop with any 2)and strong draws. If you believe he won’t shove TPTK, and remove A9 from the range you assigned him, yor equity will decrease a lot (12.16%), and make it instafold, instead of a meh, too early to gamble fold.
| ProPokerTools Hold'em Simulation |
| 36,630 trials (Exhaustive) |
| board: 592 |
| Hand | Pot equity | Wins | Ties |
|---|---|---|---|
| AsKs, AsQs, AsJs, KsQs, JJ+, 99, 55, 22 | 87.84% | 32,174 | 0 |
| TDTH | 12.16% | 4,456 | 0 |
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